sinema will likely pull a reverse Kirkpatrick, pandering to rural areas while simultaneously hoping for dear life she holds on in maricopa.
If you're referring to how Kirky did well in Rural areas (particularly Navajo county where she went way ahead of Clinton) and failed hard in Maricopa, I agree. Kirky also ran a campaign that didn't focus on issues, it was very much a "vote for me I'm not mccain" campaign. Something that is very unlikely Sinema would do.
Needless to say Sinema has waaaaay higher chances than Kirk. She already has roughly 3x the amount of cash Kirk had at this time. I believe it was Q3 or 4 2015 when Kelli ward almost out raised kirky. She was bad in many ways, If McSally ran for re election to the house I would expect Kirky to loose that election as well.
Sinema has high name rec in Maricopa, Kirky and Mcsally don't.
And to say Sinema hasn't been attacked is not accurate. Look at her '12 and '14 opponents. Particularly when Wendy Rogers ran a rather nasty ad against her comparing her to ISIS if I recall. Sinema is very well respected among all factions including republicans (wonder how she leads in a R+12 poll?)
Also I am so sick of my auto correct correcting "Sinema" with "cinema" and having to take time to change it back
