AZ-OH Insights: Sinema +3 over Ward, +1 over McSally; Ward +8 in the primary
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 09:03:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  AZ-OH Insights: Sinema +3 over Ward, +1 over McSally; Ward +8 in the primary
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AZ-OH Insights: Sinema +3 over Ward, +1 over McSally; Ward +8 in the primary  (Read 1781 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,233
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 15, 2017, 12:15:33 PM »

Link.

Sinema 46%
Ward 43%

Sinema 46%
McSally 45%

GOP Primary:
Ward 42%
McSally 34%
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2017, 12:19:56 PM »

Yeah, let's stop pretending Ward would make this race safe D. Toss up/tilt D at best.
Logged
UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,498


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2017, 12:38:18 PM »

Interesting that McSally does only 2% better in a general as of now. Have to believe with campaigning she would be better on the net (though perhaps only a coin flip against Sinema), but hard to say.

Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 15, 2017, 02:00:01 PM »

Yep Arizona is going D.
Logged
Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2017, 02:03:02 PM »

Not shocking McSally has low name rec compared to ward, particularly because she's unheard of in the phoenix metro area. (Similar to how Kirkpatrick was only well known in rural Arizona).

Also don't start thinking McSally would do any better than ward already, She has literally never been attacked before. AZ is a very anti establishment state. I see her being portrayed as "Mcconnell's McSally" in both the primary and general, whereas Cinema and Ward are both anti establishment.

Interesting poll to say the least.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 15, 2017, 02:06:13 PM »

Yeah, let's stop pretending Ward would make this race safe D. Toss up/tilt D at best.

Oh, stop it. Ward would lose easily because she's far too extreme. She believes in chemtrails of all things.
Logged
Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2017, 02:19:58 PM »

Yeah, let's stop pretending Ward would make this race safe D. Toss up/tilt D at best.

Most voters don't know her greatest hits yet.

No,they do. Which is whats interesting. Despite all the attacks against her, she remains within 3 points of Sinema, whereas McSally who hasn't been attacked yet is still behind Sinema

Its super funny on atlas but in Arizona, Ward has has a pretty large fan base and is being taken more seriously this time around.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2017, 02:53:29 PM »

Yeah, let's stop pretending Ward would make this race safe D. Toss up/tilt D at best.

Oh, stop it. Ward would lose easily because she's far too extreme. She believes in chemtrails of all things.

Since when do extreme candidates (especially Republicans) have no chance of winning?
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 15, 2017, 04:13:13 PM »

McSally is going to lose like a dog.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2017, 04:21:30 PM »

Very good.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 15, 2017, 08:35:32 PM »

sinema will likely pull a reverse Kirkpatrick, pandering to rural areas while simultaneously hoping for dear life she holds on in maricopa.
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 15, 2017, 09:17:06 PM »

As if she would do this well in an election. She hasn't been attacked yet.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 15, 2017, 09:18:48 PM »

Link.

Sinema 46%
Ward 43%

Sinema 46%
McSally 45%

GOP Primary:
Ward 42%
McSally 34%

None of these numbers are that surprising - but it lets us know Dems have a real shot at a Senate majority.
Logged
Cactus Jack
azcactus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,956
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 15, 2017, 09:22:47 PM »

As if she would do this well in an election. She hasn't been attacked yet.

She also hasn't begun to attack her opponents' many, many, many failings. Sinema is one of the best political operators in Arizona, and I would strongly advise Republicans not to underestimate her. I say that as one of her constituents, so you can take it to the bank.
Logged
Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2017, 11:40:20 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2017, 11:44:10 PM by Webnicz »

sinema will likely pull a reverse Kirkpatrick, pandering to rural areas while simultaneously hoping for dear life she holds on in maricopa.

If you're referring to how Kirky did well in Rural areas (particularly Navajo county where she went way ahead of Clinton) and failed hard in Maricopa, I agree. Kirky also ran a campaign that didn't focus on issues, it was very much a "vote for me I'm not mccain" campaign. Something that is very unlikely Sinema would do.

Needless to say Sinema has waaaaay higher chances than Kirk. She already has roughly 3x the amount of cash Kirk had at this time. I believe it was Q3 or 4 2015 when Kelli ward almost out raised kirky. She was bad in many ways, If McSally ran for re election to the house I would expect Kirky to loose that election as well.

Sinema has high name rec in Maricopa, Kirky and Mcsally don't.

And to say Sinema hasn't been attacked is not accurate. Look at her '12 and '14 opponents. Particularly when Wendy Rogers ran a rather nasty ad against her comparing her to ISIS if I recall. Sinema is very well respected among all factions including republicans (wonder how she leads in a R+12 poll?)

Also I am so sick of my auto correct correcting "Sinema" with "cinema" and having to take time to change it back
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,931
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 16, 2017, 05:56:21 PM »

Sinema is a lot smarter than Kirkpatrick. I have faith that she will win this race.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 14 queries.