AL-NRSC: DOUG +12

[Sir Mohamed]

[Xing]

I'll believe it when I see it. I'll happily eat crow if Jones somehow wins this, but unless polls show Jones regularly ahead in December, I'll stand by my assertion that Moore has this.

[Adam Griffin]

An internal from a party that has loads of incentive to push Moore out of the race and contradicts all the public polls. Not buying it. But if this does come to pass, I'll gladly admit I was wrong.

It could also be a head-fake or whatever to justify to its base why the GOP is pulling out of the state, rather than just have some basic decency and tell them "he's a scumbag".

[Chief Justice Keef]

This is fake. GOP voters are going to rationalize why they need to vote for a pedophile by election day.

[Sestak]

Replace 'Politics Twitter' with 'Atlas':

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/920413728851546112

[Cactus Jack]

Replace 'Politics Twitter' with 'Atlas':

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/920413728851546112

Except we have no way of knowing if this is an outlier when 90% of the firms that have polled this race have been absolute trash.

[IceSpear]

Replace 'Politics Twitter' with 'Atlas':

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/920413728851546112

Nate is confused. Doesn't he realize that Jones is inevitable because a couple people from Arizona said so?