2018 Senate Predictions & Analysis (user search)
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Latest 2018 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
DabbingSanta (R-ON)MapProfile 10-30 6 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
reyndani (I-WI)MapProfile 11-05 5 R +1 10 (+1) 23 (-1) 2 (0) 0
xingkerui ()MapProfile 11-06 18 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
anna0kear (I-NH)MapProfile 09-05 2 R +2 11 (+2) 22 (-2) 2 (0) 0
Calthrina950 (I-CO)MapProfile 10-25 2 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
Lakigigar (C-BEL)MapProfile 10-26 2 R +2 11 (+2) 22 (-2) 2 (0) 0
IndyRep (R-MT)MapProfile 11-05 11 R +2 11 (+2) 22 (-2) 2 (0) 0
Ronnie (D-CA)MapProfile 11-05 15 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
ryer (R-VA)Map 11-05 3 R +2 11 (+2) 22 (-2) 2 (0) 0
thebadger (I-GBR)MapProfile 11-05 4 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jastone0493 (D-CO)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 0
Lechasseur (R-FL)MapProfile 11-06 4 R +5 14 (+5) 19 (-5) 2 (0) 0
buckstopper (D-MO)Map 11-06 1 D +3 6 (-3) 27 (+3) 2 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 14 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 0
New Canadaland (I-ON)MapProfile 11-06 6 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-06 1 R +4 13 (+4) 20 (-4) 2 (0) 0
tomhguy (L-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 5 R +1 10 (+1) 23 (-1) 2 (0) 0
OctoCube (R-MA)MapProfile 11-06 2 R +3 12 (+3) 21 (-3) 2 (0) 0
trippytropicana (D-NC)MapProfile 11-06 8 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 0
WaterHazard (I-IL)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
deleteduser (I-WV)
by man_of_honor885 on 2019-02-18 @ 15:35:23
Map 11-06 135 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 8
edwardsna (R-NY)
by deleteduser on 2019-01-24 @ 01:34:57
MapProfile 11-05 10 R +3 12 (+3) 21 (-3) 2 (0) 2
man_of_honor885 ()
by deleteduser on 2019-01-24 @ 01:32:05
Map 11-06 11 Even 9 (0) 24 (0) 2 (0) 3
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by deleteduser on 2019-01-24 @ 01:26:30
MapProfile 11-05 201 D +5 4 (-5) 29 (+5) 2 (0) 3
man_of_honor885 ()
by man_of_honor885 on 2018-11-06 @ 15:31:40
Map 11-02 10 R +1 10 (+1) 23 (-1) 2 (0) 4
darthpi (D-PA)
by darthpi on 2018-11-05 @ 20:40:34
MapProfile 11-05 26 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 1
Nik (R-TN)
by man_of_honor885 on 2018-11-05 @ 16:44:27
MapProfile 11-02 7 R +7 16 (+7) 17 (-7) 2 (0) 3
Du_Chateau (I-OH)
by Du_Chateau on 2018-11-03 @ 19:41:23
Map 11-03 3 D +3 6 (-3) 27 (+3) 2 (0) 2
Politician (--MA)
by Nik on 2018-11-03 @ 14:53:14
MapProfile 11-03 80 D +1 8 (-1) 25 (+1) 2 (0) 1
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by President_91 on 2018-11-03 @ 11:27:53
MapProfile 11-02 199 D +4 5 (-4) 28 (+4) 2 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2018 Senate Predictions & Analysis  (Read 28225 times)
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


« on: October 05, 2018, 01:23:07 AM »

Predicting margins for competitive races one month out.

AZ: 49-47 Sinema
FL: 51-48 Nelson

IN: 49-47 Donnelly
MN-S: 52-45 Smith
MO: 49-48 Hawley
MT: 49-46 Tester
NV: 48-45 Rosen

NJ: 53-46 Menendez
ND: 52-48 Cramer
OH: 54-44 Brown
TN: 52-46 Blackburn
TX: 52-47 Cruz

WV: 51-44 Manchin
WI: 54-45 Baldwin


MS-S: 40-34-24 Epsy - Hyde-Smith - McDaniel --> 57-43 Hyde-Smith

Right now i agree 100%, and would predict very similar numbers myself. It will be interesting to see genuine results month ahead, and compare.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2018, 12:19:36 PM »

NC or R+1. Most likely variant for now is (IMHO, as always) a draw with Democrats winning Arizona and Nevada, and Republicans - North Dakota and Missouri. But it can easily go R+1. Or, if Democrats will be really lucky, they can go +1 by either winning Tennessee or - not losing Missouri.
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