Texas Megathread Mk. II : Big Dem State Legislature gains

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

What is your source for the numbers by the way?

Mostly twitter for the 2018 numbers, for example these people have posted many of them:

https://twitter.com/EdEspinoza
https://twitter.com/trowaman
https://twitter.com/mcpli

2014 and 2016 #s come from TX Secretary of State

https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/earlyvoting/archive.shtml

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

OK, for El Paso I don't have an exact #, but a news article says "more than 15,000" and that it is higher than 2016.

https://www.kvia.com/news/texas/early-voting-in-texas-begins-with-lines-strong-turnout/818526327

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El Paso/El Paso County

2018: Unknown HIGHER than 16,117
2016: 16,117
2014: 2,817


So it is more than 5 times 2014 levels...

So yeah, looks like Hispanics are indeed voting (so far), to a MUCH greater extent than I would have expected based on historical turnout.

Truly crazy.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

El Paso County beat their 2016 numbers by the way (they also beat every single record from 2016) with over 17K votes.

https://twitter.com/EP_Elections/status/1054554840276230147?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%...

[Terry the Fat Shark]

http://access.tarrantcounty.com/en/elections/Upcoming-Election-Information/Live_Turn_Out_Widget.html

Tarrant County had 40,422 turn out on Day 1, a bit short of the 43K in 2016 but still very impressive.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

http://access.tarrantcounty.com/en/elections/Upcoming-Election-Information/Live_Turn_Out_Widget.html Over 5,000 people voted between 11 AM and Noon in Tarrant County....

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1054787414726766592

and....

https://twitter.com/TXElects/status/1054763431180423168

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1054893927763992576
Not sure on the exact numbers, but Dallas County beat its 2016 EV totals again on Day 2.

Tarrant County also saw an increase from yesterday but 2016 also increased on day 2 so about 2K below 2016.

[The Mikado]

https://twitter.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1054924495956439041

Including me.

[TarHeelDem]

THE HISPANICS ARE VOTING OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG!!!

Big if true.

[Gass3268]

For a state that's generally apathetic about voting, it's great to see the massive amounts of turnout in the Lone Star State regardless of who ends up winning.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2018/general-election-early-voting/ Texas Tribune tracker

[The Mikado]

https://twitter.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1055288833409998848

Dallas County over 140k early votes.

Dallas County cast 765k total votes in 2016 (presidential year turnout) and 407k total votes in 2014 (last midterm). Decent chance Dallas County exceeds its total 2014 turnout by the end of early voting.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Considering both parties put a lot of money in this campaign, it's easy to believe.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Just voted! Watch out for the Atlas Red Wave Trump!

(Although I did vote for Abbot.)

[CatoMinor]

I wonder why Abbot is so popular (relative to other GOP governors) among Atlas Dems, looking at the endorsement page.

He is your standard right wing Governor with a yuge warchest.

[Politician]

I wonder why Abbot is so popular (relative to other GOP governors) among Atlas Dems, looking at the endorsement page.

He is your standard right wing Governor with a yuge warchest.

Valdez is a weak candidate running a very poor campaign and Texas doesn't really have any maor problems right now.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I wonder why Abbot is so popular (relative to other GOP governors) among Atlas Dems, looking at the endorsement page.

He is your standard right wing Governor with a yuge warchest.

Valdez is a weak candidate running a very poor campaign and Texas doesn't really have any maor problems right now.

I support Lupe because shes the lesser of two evils but I mean like shes done some bad stuff like torturing prisoners and working with ice more than any other sherriff

Wait seriously??

[CatoMinor]

I wonder why Abbot is so popular (relative to other GOP governors) among Atlas Dems, looking at the endorsement page.

He is your standard right wing Governor with a yuge warchest.

Valdez is a weak candidate running a very poor campaign and Texas doesn't really have any maor problems right now.

I support Lupe because shes the lesser of two evils but I mean like shes done some bad stuff like torturing prisoners and working with ice more than any other sherriff

Wait seriously??

Dems went with identity politics over the "electable" candidate in several states, but they can at least take solace that it seems to have been the right call in Florida and possibly Georgia. But it's not like they threw away a winnable race, White would probably be doing better but highly unlikely it would be in O'Rourke vs Cruz territory.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I'd still like to know what that torturing prisoners thing is about.

[Indy Texas]

I wonder why Abbot is so popular (relative to other GOP governors) among Atlas Dems, looking at the endorsement page.

He is your standard right wing Governor with a yuge warchest.

Valdez is a weak candidate running a very poor campaign and Texas doesn't really have any maor problems right now.

I support Lupe because shes the lesser of two evils but I mean like shes done some bad stuff like torturing prisoners and working with ice more than any other sherriff

Wait seriously??

Dems went with identity politics over the "electable" candidate in several states, but they can at least take solace that it seems to have been the right call in Florida and possibly Georgia. But it's not like they threw away a winnable race, White would probably be doing better but highly unlikely it would be in O'Rourke vs Cruz territory.

My hope is that White will be the nominee in 2022 when it's an open seat due to Abbott (presumably) retiring.

[Canis]

I'd still like to know what that torturing prisoners thing is about.

https://www.texasobserver.org/compassionate-cop-taking-a-hard-look-at-lupe-valdez/
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/crime/2009/12/16/former-dallas-county-jail-guar

[Antonio the Sixth]

I'd still like to know what that torturing prisoners thing is about.

https://www.texasobserver.org/compassionate-cop-taking-a-hard-look-at-lupe-valdez/
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/crime/2009/12/16/former-dallas-county-jail-guar

...OK this is bad. Changing my Atlas endorsements now.

Edit: nvm, there's no leftist third-party on the ballot in TX. F**k.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

According to TX Tribune estimates/projections, Dems have gained at least 10 State House Seats

Balance coming in: 95-55 GOP
New Balance: 85-65 GOP

State Senate had a D gain of 2
Previous Balance: 21-10 GOP
New Balance: 19-12 GOP

[Mr.Phips]

According to TX Tribune estimates/projections, Dems have gained at least 10 State House Seats

Balance coming in: 95-55 GOP
New Balance: 85-65 GOP

State Senate had a D gain of 2
Previous Balance: 21-10 GOP
New Balance: 19-12 GOP

Were the Huffman seat and the old Wendy Davis seat the Senate gains?

[CatoMinor]

Huffman held on. Democrats picked off Huffines and Burton (Wendy Davis's old seat)

Last I saw they were at D+12 for the Texas House.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/11/09/state-sen-sylvia-garcia-announces-resignation-effective-friday/?utm_campaign=trib-social&utm_content=1541780417&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook There will be a special election for the 6th State Senate seat in Texas as Sylvia Garcia resigned (due to being elected to the House of Representatives, she wanted to allow an expedited election) This seat is pretty Safe D so nothing should change.