Texas Megathread Mk. II : Big Dem State Legislature gains

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://mailchi.mp/texastribune.org/the-brief-3i40fx0gly?e=fcbf735599

A breakdown on some of the runoffs (just some though, many more are still at play on State House and of course the Governor's race)

[Former Kentuckian]

An article on Valdez and White's strategies leading into election day next week. Valdez is focusing on radio while White is focusing on tv. Valdez is also campaigning with Julian Castro: https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/2018/05/17/andrew-white-drops-austin-tv-ad-as-lupe-valdez-starts-targeted-radio-blitz

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Tippets might be a good protest vote if Valdez wins on Tuesday, which I think she will.

I would vote for Andrew White over Abbott, but not Valdez.

[Mr. Smith]

Yeah, this is gonna be interesting.

Though besides Houston area stuff, I can't remember much about Andrew White at all, whereas Valdez seemed everywhere.

[Young Conservative]

Tippets might be a good protest vote if Valdez wins on Tuesday, which I think she will.

I would vote for Andrew White over Abbott, but not Valdez.

Why so? Is it her history on immigration?

[BuckeyeNut]

No round 2 polling? I guess I'll assume Valdez wins since she got nearly double White's total in round 1...

[Oryxslayer]

Yeah, this is gonna be interesting.

Though besides Houston area stuff, I can't remember much about Andrew White at all, whereas Valdez seemed everywhere.

Valdez grabbed South Texas and the Dallas metro, alpng with the corridor between the two through Austin. White racked up margins in the west and in Houston. The West wasn't really relevant with so few votes. While Valdez probably had the advantage, White probably has momentum. The third candidate also pulled votes in west texas which would flow to White. The main thing though is the shooting. This happened in the heart of White's territory, and will probably push turnout there much more higher then statewide.

[CatoMinor]

Tippets might be a good protest vote if Valdez wins on Tuesday, which I think she will.

I would vote for Andrew White over Abbott, but not Valdez.

Fixed

[Mike88]

I know it's still early, but it's close:

50.5% Lupe Valdez
49.5% Andrew White

[Kodak]

With both precincts reporting, White has won the crucial Loving County vote. I don't think Valdez can recover from this.

[Greedo punched first]

It looks like White will win.

[Theodore]

With both precincts reporting, White has won the crucial Loving County vote. I don't think Valdez can recover from this.

White won 75% of the vote. Valdez will have to make it up in Ochiltree County to at least have a fighting chance for the nomination.

[Thunder98]

Zero Democratic votes in King County.

[Greedo punched first]

White is overperforming in the DFW metro area.

[Thunder98]

Valdez really needs to expand those margins in San Antonio.

[Mr. Smith]

Any idea why Falls County rather than McLennan (home of Baylor University in Waco) went to Valdez?

[Unapologetic Chinaperson]

Both NYT and Politico have called it for Valdez. (Surprised nobody said anything yet.)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Thoughts on who the nominee will be?

Most likely Valdez but it wouldn't shock me if things were close through the night on Tuesday

so I was right but I wanted White to win rip

[Mr. Smith]

Both NYT and Politico have called it for Valdez. (Surprised nobody said anything yet.)

Considering her underperformance around Austin and the amount of precincts left around Houston, can't really blame anyone can you.

But she definitely did better in The Panhandle than I expected.

[NOVA Green]

EDIT: Sorry--- intending to respond to the comment about "surprised no one commented that the TX-GOV DEM PRIM election was called"

I did, but on the "other thread"....

That's the problem between splitting Federal vs Statewide elections and many of us have to pick our various threads....  

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=286512.msg6217968#msg6217968

[Former Kentuckian]

Lupe Valdez never had any tv commercials (only digital ads/commercials and radio commercials). White aired tv ads in the primary and the runoff and still managed to come second both times.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Lupe Valdez never had any tv commercials (only digital ads/commercials and radio commercials). White aired tv ads in the primary and the runoff and still managed to come second both times.

tbf, he had a mountain to climb in order to win, both times.

[Former Kentuckian]

Lupe Valdez never had any tv commercials (only digital ads/commercials and radio commercials). White aired tv ads in the primary and the runoff and still managed to come second both times.

tbf, he had a mountain to climb in order to win, both times.

True, and further proof that money doesn't always buy elections. He had like $1.6 million going into election night while Lupe Valdez had like $400,000. He just couldn't make it happen.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Lupe Valdez never had any tv commercials (only digital ads/commercials and radio commercials). White aired tv ads in the primary and the runoff and still managed to come second both times.

tbf, he had a mountain to climb in order to win, both times.

True, and proof that money doesn't always buy elections. He had like $1.6 million going into election night while Lupe Valdez had like $400,000. He just couldn't make it happen.

He could have made it competitive in GE, but in any event Lupe was an obstacle he could not pass.
Here's to hoping White gives Valdez $$ to compete on the airwaves and media markets in the general election!

[VPH]

Darn, yet another loss for conservative Democrats. Not shaping up to be a great year for them.