VA/NJ-Change Research: Northam +6, Murphy +16
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October 20, 2021, 04:15:38 AM

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  2021 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  VA/NJ-Change Research: Northam +6, Murphy +16
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Author Topic: VA/NJ-Change Research: Northam +6, Murphy +16  (Read 1103 times)
heatcharger
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« on: November 06, 2017, 08:04:28 AM »
« edited: November 06, 2017, 10:06:25 AM by heatcharger 🌹‏ »

Link.

VA-GOV:
Northam 52%
Gillespie 46%
Hyra 2%

VA-LG:
Fairfax 50%
Vogel 45%

VA-AG:
Herring 51%
Adams 45%

NJ-GOV:
Murphy 58%
Guadagno 42%

These people nailed MT-AL and the AL-SEN runoff, although they had Perriello up 8 but Gillespie also up 1 in the June primary. Decent track record I guess.
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Badger
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2017, 10:01:37 AM »

How the heck are there apparently no undecided voters in the New Jersey race?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2017, 10:04:59 AM »

How the heck are there apparently no undecided voters in the New Jersey race?

They pushed undecideds and didn't offer an undecided option when asking who they leaned towards, and then they just threw out all the people who said they don't plan to vote.
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Southern Deputy Speaker TheSaint250
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2017, 10:05:43 AM »

How the heck are there apparently no undecided voters in the New Jersey race?

They pushed undecideds and didn't offer an undecided option when asking who they leaned towards, and then they just threw out all the people who said they don't plan to vote.

What about third-party voters?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2017, 10:06:17 AM »

How the heck are there apparently no undecided voters in the New Jersey race?

They pushed undecideds and didn't offer an undecided option when asking who they leaned towards, and then they just threw out all the people who said they don't plan to vote.

What about third-party voters?

Hyra has 2% in VA.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2017, 10:42:19 AM »

How the heck are there apparently no undecided voters in the New Jersey race?

They pushed undecideds and didn't offer an undecided option when asking who they leaned towards, and then they just threw out all the people who said they don't plan to vote.

What about third-party voters?

Theres a green, libertarian and conservative candidate on the NJ Ballot but they have 0 name recognition and I'll be shocked if any of them get more than a couple thousand votes.
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Josh Shapiro for Governor
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2017, 11:40:57 PM »

Yep, 2017 will be a blue wave year. I'm actually predicting the Democrats will take the Virginia legislature.
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Badger
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2017, 12:35:13 AM »

Yep, 2017 will be a blue wave year. I'm actually predicting the Democrats will take the Virginia legislature.

I'm not saying it can't happen, but doesn't that seem highly optimistic considering Northam's likely victory is equally likely to be at least close-ish? Hardly the wave needed to dislodge some of those gerrymandered seats.
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