VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Democrats +7 in the Hod now and leading in 54 seats.

[TheSaint250]

I'll ask again, if Dems win the HoD, can they reverse the state's call for a constitutional convention? That's a big blow if they could.

lol a con-con won't be happening any time soon anyway.

Republicans are trying to pass it right now in WI. They need that con-con to take away rights of minorities, and ban abortion/gay marriage all under the guise of a "balanced budget".

Ignoring the hottest #hottakes I've ever seen in my life, there aren't enough states now, and 2018 surely won't help bring a con-con anyway.

[Holmes]

Looks like all of Gillespie's votes are in. Whatever's remaining will pad Northam's margin.

[Tintrlvr]

Am I reading the map wrong or are the margins (relative to 2016) trending Republican in Alexandria and Richmond?

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/virginia-governor-election-gillespie-northam

Yes, this is true, but it has to be taken with a grain of salt. Northam is improving on Clinton in both places, but Gillespie is improving on Trump by more, so they are narrowly swinging Republican. These are the types of places that had a lot of solid very high income Republicans who voted for Johnson to whom Gillespie is more acceptable than Trump. But it has to be remembered that such areas are very unrepresentative of pretty much anywhere else.

[wxtransit]

Dems seem to be making a serious play for the HoD.

[IceSpear]

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump  3m3 minutes ago
More
Ed Gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what I stand for. Don’t forget, Republicans won 4 out of 4 House seats, and with the economy doing record numbers, we will continue to win, even bigger than before!

LOL!!!

This was the most likely Trump response to a Gillespie loss, in my opinion. Or, for that matter, any loss.

Well, Trump is beyond radioactive in the state of Virginia, which is VERY pro-insider, pro-lobbyist, pro-bureaucrat, pro-deep state, etc. and totally relies on big government growth, so Trumpism obviously won't win in Virginia. Still shocked to see radical alt-left candidates like that DSA-endorsed Lee Carter win, and by double digits. Scary.

Insider, lobbyist, bureaucrat...which candidate in this race does that describe more?

[Del Tachi]

Am I reading the map wrong or are the margins (relative to 2016) trending Republican in Alexandria and Richmond?

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/virginia-governor-election-gillespie-northam

Looks like heavily African-American precincts.  Probably represents a drop from presidential-level turnout rather than a shift towards Republican.

[Chief Justice Keef]

This is the mailer the GOP sent last week against Lee Carter, who just defeated the Republican House Majority Whip.

[Kamala]

If Gillespie does worse than Trump in %... lmao

[Ye We Can]

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump  3m3 minutes ago
More
Ed Gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what I stand for. Don’t forget, Republicans won 4 out of 4 House seats, and with the economy doing record numbers, we will continue to win, even bigger than before!

LOL!!!

This was the most likely Trump response to a Gillespie loss, in my opinion. Or, for that matter, any loss.

Well, Trump is beyond radioactive in the state of Virginia, which is VERY pro-insider, pro-lobbyist, pro-bureaucrat, pro-deep state, etc. and totally relies on big government growth, so Trumpism obviously won't win in Virginia. Still shocked to see radical alt-left candidates like that DSA-endorsed Lee Carter win, and by double digits. Scary.

Cri moar

[wxtransit]

Am I reading the map wrong or are the margins (relative to 2016) trending Republican in Alexandria and Richmond?

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/virginia-governor-election-gillespie-northam

Yes, this is true, but it has to be taken with a grain of salt. Northam is improving on Clinton in both places, but Gillespie is improving on Trump by more, so they are narrowly swinging Republican. These are the types of places that had a lot of solid very high income Republicans who voted for Johnson to whom Gillespie is more acceptable than Trump.

Alright. Makes sense.

[wxtransit]

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump  3m3 minutes ago
More
Ed Gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what I stand for. Don’t forget, Republicans won 4 out of 4 House seats, and with the economy doing record numbers, we will continue to win, even bigger than before!

LOL!!!

This was the most likely Trump response to a Gillespie loss, in my opinion. Or, for that matter, any loss.

Well, Trump is beyond radioactive in the state of Virginia, which is VERY pro-insider, pro-lobbyist, pro-bureaucrat, pro-deep state, etc. and totally relies on big government growth, so Trumpism obviously won't win in Virginia. Still shocked to see radical alt-left candidates like that DSA-endorsed Lee Carter win, and by double digits. Scary.

Cri moar

[The Govanah Jake]

7.2% lead for Northam and NYT calls Fairfax victory finally

[uti2]

The Next Republican running in a swing state or leaning dem state should just tie himself to Bush 24/7 and their policies are similar to Bush not Trump. Bush is popular now

...No.

Ha. Yes, do that. It would be glorious.

Why not, Bush is popular now

His policies aren't and they never really were. He did not have strong bipartisan congressional support compared to say Reagan or Nixon (pre-watergate).

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 28

28    53%Robert Thomas REP.    47%Joshua Cole DEM.   91%

This is what I've called so far:

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28

Count at Ds at 45-44

[Oryxslayer]

Update
seat  D  R  precincts
02: 63-37, 96% Called D + 1 by NYT
10: 52-48, 97%
12: 52-48, 89% Called D + 2
13: 55-45, 95% Called D + 3
21: 54-47, 40%
26: 56-44, 54%
27: 96-4, 91%
31: 54-45, 96% Called D + 4
32: 59-41, 96% Called D + 5
33: 45-56, 94%
40: 51-49, 78%
42: 62-38, 74% Called D + 6
50: 55-45, 94% Called D + 7
51: 53-47, 95% Called D + 8
62: 48-52, 92%
67:59-41, 67%
68: 50-50, 83%
72: 52-48, 89%
73: 52-48, 96%
85: 51-49, 72%
87: 63-37, 90% Called D Hold
93: 60-40, 88%
94: 50-48, 79%
100: 46-54, 81%

Dems are probably on tract to tie/take the chamber, or at least come close enough to take it in 2019.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

. @ChrisHurstVA wins- 12th Democratic pickup of night- now 46D, 43R and 11 seats not yet called.

[Shadows]

This is the mailer the GOP sent last week against Lee Carter, who just defeated the Republican House Majority Whip.

And the kid beat the House GOP Whip. Anyways, Dems leading in 54 seats & have won 37 already. It is the other 17 seats they are leading which will decide.

Looks like the HoD may turn blue.

[fluffypanther19]

wheres krazen, extreme conservative, and the rookie republican trolls at?!? come on in and enjoy this beat down

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Maybe Republicans will finally realize how much of a disaster Trump is. All of those waves they made against the Democrats in the past 8 years are going to be taken back.

[Kamala]

Yeah what the hell is going on in HoD #27

[Tintrlvr]

Gillespie back up in Chesterfield County by 97 votes Hopefully the last precinct puts Northam over the top.

[Chief Justice Keef]

NYT's live estimates showed Northam reaching double digits for a moment there.

[_]

This is freaking amazing lol.

This is what we get for embracing that Orange moron.

[Kamala]

If Gillespie does worse than Trump in %... lmao

Projected by NYT: 44.6%
Trump 2016: 44.41%