Weight the likelihood of outcomes for Trump (Updated August 2018)
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  Weight the likelihood of outcomes for Trump (Updated August 2018)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Weight the likelihood of outcomes for Trump (Updated August 2018)  (Read 2876 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,832
United States


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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #25 on: August 21, 2018, 10:36:41 PM »
1. Trump serves full term and is reelected in 2020. $40
2. Trump serves full term, is renominated, but loses the general election. $45
3. Trump serves full term, runs for reelection, but loses the Republican primary. $0
4. Trump serves full term but chooses not to run again. $5
5. Trump resigns (for any reason) before completing his term. $5
6. Trump is removed by the 25th Amendment. $0
7. Trump is impeached and removed by Congress. $0
8. Trump dies in office. $5
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JGibson
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,586
United States


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E: -7.00, S: -6.50

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« Reply #26 on: August 21, 2018, 11:45:43 PM »
1. Trump serves full term and is reelected in 2020: $15
2. Trump serves full term, is renominated, but loses the general election: $30
3. Trump serves full term, runs for reelection, but loses the Republican primary: $5
4. Trump serves full term but chooses not to run again: $15
5. Trump resigns (for any reason) before completing his term: $9
6. Trump is removed by the 25th Amendment: $0
7. Trump is impeached and removed by Congress: $16
8. Trump dies in office: $10
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Legend
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United States


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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #27 on: August 22, 2018, 07:27:10 PM »
Trump serves his full term: 99%
Trump gets re-elected: 50%
Anything else: <1%
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#gravelgang #lessiglad
Serious_Username
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Posts: 1,615
United States


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« Reply #28 on: August 22, 2018, 08:00:45 PM »
Quote from: Langley ➡️ The Hague on November 06, 2017, 04:44:39 PM

1. Trump serves full term and is reelected in 2020. $35$40
2. Trump serves full term, is renominated, but loses the general election.$40
3. Trump serves full term, runs for reelection, but loses the Republican primary.$0
4. Trump serves full term but chooses not to run again.$10$6
5. Trump resigns (for any reason) before completing his term.$5$6
6. Trump is removed by the 25th Amendment.$0
7. Trump is impeached and removed by Congress.$0$1
8. Trump dies in office.$10$7
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