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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  VA-Gravis: Northam+5
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Author Topic: VA-Gravis: Northam+5  (Read 1792 times)
heatcharger
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« on: November 04, 2017, 09:00:23 am »
« edited: November 04, 2017, 09:09:32 am by heatcharger 🌹‏ »

Link.

Governor:
Northam 48%
Gillespie 43%
Hyra 3%

Lt. Governor:
Fairfax 46%
Vogel 42%

Attorney General:
Herring 47%
Adams 42%
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2017, 09:19:29 am »

Surprising #s for Gravis. Throw it in the average
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Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2017, 09:21:04 am »

The only way that Gillespie wins is that Trump is over 40 in the election polls and that Democrats still don't know how to talk to voters who aren't Democrats.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2017, 10:10:46 am »

Surprising #s for Gravis. Throw it in the average
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From Prussia With Love
jdb
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2017, 10:17:28 am »

Gravis isn't a credible polling firm though; it's like a conservative version of Zogby.
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mds32
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2017, 10:28:09 am »

This poll and their New Jersey poll don't seem to have any flaws.
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DTC
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2017, 10:30:30 am »

nah this is fake news gillepsie is up by 10
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mds32
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2017, 10:32:20 am »

This survey also proves that the GOP should really be concentrating on the Lt. Governor race in VA. Because if then if they win it they can afford to lose a Senate seat in 2019 if the environment is the same as 2017/18.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2017, 10:41:30 am »

Thanks Gravis.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2017, 12:05:44 pm »

Christ are they all over the place with this.

I know it's cliche, but I'm guessing this'll be a turnout game.
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Senator YE
YE
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2017, 12:21:30 pm »

Just because it's an outcome you like doesn't make Gravis not junk.
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swf541
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2017, 02:33:36 pm »

Like 80% of the polls in the last day, throw them in the pile

Gravis did get va right in 16 though
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Kempros
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2017, 08:32:31 pm »

Christ are they all over the place with this.

I know it's cliche, but I'm guessing this'll be a turnout game.

IKR. Anywhere from Northam +17 to Gillespie +8.
The pollsters have gotta work on their credibility after 2016.
So much for +- 3% with a 95% confidence.
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mds32
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2017, 06:38:52 pm »

Except it, Gravis Marketing is a real pollster and they could very well have this race right.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2017, 08:07:41 pm »

Except it, Gravis Marketing is a real pollster and they could very well have this race right.

Wow I didnít know Gravis Marketingís Director of Political Polling posted on Atlas! Weíve gone mainstream guys!
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Biden/Abrams Voter
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2017, 08:15:59 pm »

Gah: we're gonna lose this, aren't we?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2017, 10:36:49 pm »

Damn, brutal news for Northam.
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