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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  VA-Rasmussen: 45-45
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Author Topic: VA-Rasmussen: 45-45  (Read 1286 times)
Not_A_Man
Not_Madigan
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« on: November 03, 2017, 11:15:30 am »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2017/virginia/election_2017_virginia_governor

Ralph Northam (D):  45%
Ed Gillespie (R):  45%
Cliff Hyra (L):  2%
Other (??):  2%
Undecided:  6%
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#Klobmentum
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2017, 11:16:14 am »

So Northam wins by 10?
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Arch
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2017, 11:19:06 am »

Has Rass polled this race at all before? If so, swings?
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Buckhead Kelly
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2017, 11:20:34 am »

How does Trump have a higher approval in VA than he does nationally?
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#Klobmentum
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2017, 11:20:52 am »

Has Rass polled this race at all before? If so, swings?

This and the NJ governors race poll are their first state polls in a very long time.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2017, 11:21:47 am »

I seriously believe that Northam will win by somewhere between 8 and 12 points.
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Not_A_Man
Not_Madigan
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2017, 11:22:40 am »

I'd advise against putting this in the poll database, I don't understand the Trump Approval or the "Other" voters.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2017, 11:23:14 am »

How does Trump have a higher approval in VA than he does nationally?

Generally it has been worse.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2017, 11:30:36 am »

I'd advise against putting this in the poll database, I don't understand the Trump Approval or the "Other" voters.

Hopefully the other pollsters that have been polling throughout are out in the field this weekend.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2017, 12:29:37 pm »

Rassy did some pretty inconsistent polls of Nevada in 2016.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2017, 08:12:41 pm »

This looks like a clear tossup.

I see it going either way. It is going to be an exciting Election night.
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Kempros
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2017, 08:06:45 am »

If I remember right, I don't think they where too off of the 2016 General.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2017, 08:59:01 am »

This poll gives Trump a 45% approval rating in Virginia and 54% disapproval.

Perhaps we can all agree that Gillespie will match Trump's approval meeting in Virginia on Election Day, and if we believe Trump's substantially more popular in Virginia than the nation as a whole that Gillespie can ride race-baiting and moonlight and magnolias to victory, and if Trump isn't at 45% approval, maybe he'll struggle.
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