More believable than the last one. What I don't get is how Northam only has a 5 point lead in a sample where D's outnumber R's by 8 points and where Northam has 96% of Democrats, is winning independents, and is taking more R's from Gillespie than Gillespie is taking D's. Wouldn't that suggest he should be leading by more than 5 points in this sample?
Go to question 6 and filter by party and then to question 19 where the party ID is 32D-24R-32I
Among D's (32%): Northam 96, Gillespie 3
Among R's (24%): Northam 6, Gillespie 91
Among I's (32%): Northam 48, Gillespie 45
These numbers don't add up
Their LV screen must be very R friendly. Either that or they're applying some special sauce to herd to the consensus. The regional splits also make no sense unless you're assuming massive turnout in R areas and low turnout in D areas.
