Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: Rutte III era

[mvd10]

GL wins Amsterdam (22%). Loss for D66 (from 26.6% to 17%). DENK at 5.7%, FvD at 4.9% and BIJ1 (Sylvana Simons) will enter the municipal council with 1 seat.

[Dutch Conservative]

Amsterdam, GL bigger than D66

GL 22% (+11.4%)
D66 17 (-9.6%)
VVD 12.4% (+1.3%)
PvdA 11% (-7.2%)
SP 6.8% (-4.3)
PvdD 6.7% (+3.9%)
Denk 5.7%
FvD 4.9%
Bij1 2.3%

Unbelievable good showing for GroenLinks. FvD disappoints. CDA no longer has a seat in the capital. Very poor result for that party so far, will they finally get rid of Buma?

[SunSt0rm]

First results of the referendum are coming in. Groningen and Limburg are voting against

[DavidB.]

Polling station where I'm counting massively against (65% or so). Lower middle-class The Hague, PVV-VVD-DENK in GE17. Ethnically mixed area. You heard it here first!

[mvd10]

Jesse Klaver on television. I probably have to stay neutral, but I still want to vomit.

[Dutch Conservative]

Jesse Klaver on television. I probably have to stay neutral, but I still want to vomit.

It's disgusting.

Polling station where I'm counting massively against (65% or so). Lower middle-class The Hague, PVV-VVD-DENK in GE17. Ethnically mixed area. You heard it here first!

Very interesting. When this is a trend, I believe the against-vote can pull out a win. 45/55 on NOS now, but I have no idea which % has been counted.

[SunSt0rm]

Jesse Klaver on television. I probably have to stay neutral, but I still want to vomit.

I cant wait for 2022 where they will lose. I just remember why I am on the right of D66

[mvd10]

Polling station where I'm counting massively against (65% or so). Lower middle-class The Hague, PVV-VVD-DENK in GE17. Ethnically mixed area. You heard it here first!

Interesting. I wonder how university precincts vote. There seems to be a red dot building up in the north of the country (which makes sense).

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Local elections seems to be more interesting than Polish ones :I

[SunSt0rm]

lol GL is defintely not connecting high educated voters with lower educated voters

[mvd10]

lol GL is defintely not connecting high educated voters with lower educated voters

If they could manage to do that they could basically replicate the PvdA 2012 coalition. But I think it's more likely that the PvdA gets it's act together (or that people just forget Rutte 2).

[SunSt0rm]

First student city coming in

Groningen
For 27%
Against 71%

[SunSt0rm]

lol GL is defintely not connecting high educated voters with lower educated voters

If they could manage to do that they could basically replicate the PvdA 2012 coalition. But I think it's more likely that the PvdA gets it's act together (or that people just forget Rutte 2).

PvdA should replace Asscher if they want to recover and choose a new and more populistic leader who is tougher on immigration. I cant imagine Klaver is able to broaden much his party to lower educated voters. GL is not really winning big in places like Enschede as Amsterdam or Utrecht

[SunSt0rm]

nevermind it is a partial result, but seems pointing to a heavily devastated result for the PVV

The north so far is voting unanimously against the referendum

[DavidB.]

Partial, but looks very accurate, probably includes almost all precincts. We have a very big polling station and just sent our results one minute ago.

[DavidB.]

No posts anymore? Keep me updated guise

[SunSt0rm]

Utrecht referendum (partial I gues)

For 33%
Against 60%
Blank 6%

[SunSt0rm]

Den Bosch

VVD 12.5% (+0.1%)
D66 11.9% (-1.0%)
GL 9.5% (+2.3%)
CDA 8.8% (-2.7%)
SP 7.6% (-1.3%)
PvdA 6.5% (-2.0%)
PVV 3.4%

[SunSt0rm]

Wilders only 9.7% in his hometown

80% of the vote in The Hague

[DavidB.]

32/63 against in Amsterdam

[SunSt0rm]

The surprise of the night. CU is winning Urk from the SGP

The gap between for and against is tightening. If for wins then thanks to the Noord Brabant, the bible belt and the CDA hearland in the east where for is winning big

[DavidB.]

Finally home.

Referendum now 48.7%-47.6% with "against" in the lead. Will be tight. I hope the big cities can make the difference, but usually betting on cities outvoting rural areas isn't a smart thing to do...

In Tilburg, FvD-endorsed Lijst Smolders doubled in size from five to ten seats. With Leefbaar's share of the vote holding up pretty well despite the PVV's participation, FvD winning two or three seats in Amsterdam, local parties gaining again and becoming the largest party in many (most?) municipalities, and the referendum being unexpectedly tight, the "party cartel" isn't having a great night: fragmentation weakens their position the most. At the same time, it has to be said that the VVD made some gains that are impressive after almost eight year in government.

The Hague voted 53.9-41.5 against, Rotterdam by 57.4%-38.5%.

[SunSt0rm]

47-49.3 now. Only Amsterdam as biggest city is left. After that there are soms medium-big size cities as Arnhem, Lelystad and Tilburg and of course the student cities.

The Hague:

[DavidB.]

Really happy with this result. De Mos and the VVD should now form a government, perhaps with CDA and D66. Absolutely brutal for the PVV. Shows that PVV voters do notice when the party performs well: only a small loss in Almere (from 9 to 7 seats is not great, but respectable), where they are generally doing a good job at representing voters, and huge losses in The Hague, where they are absolutely useless and an embarrassment. Apart from this, 15 parties is really a lot... and 3 Muslim parties with 1 seat each, lol.

[DavidB.]

Pollster De Hond (peil.nl) is calling it for "against", as Amsterdam still has to come in and "for" cannot make up for the difference. I'm inclined to think he's right, but don't know if that's wishful thinking. Outside the north, the NOS map is really very blue...