What happened to the Jewish vote in 1992?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 11:06:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What happened to the Jewish vote in 1992?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What happened to the Jewish vote in 1992?  (Read 1509 times)
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,464
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 12, 2017, 12:45:27 PM »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?
Logged
Hydera
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2017, 02:05:55 PM »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?


Bill Clinton ran on a tough on crime campaign thats widely criticized nowadays. But that along with being less left-wing on economics made a lot of middle class jews(along with the middle class suburbia in general) turn to him.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2017, 05:12:05 PM »
« Edited: September 12, 2017, 05:14:05 PM by Zyzz »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,464
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2017, 05:19:39 PM »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.

Even McGovern got 65%, so it's not like Carter's 71 was that huge, especially compared to Humphrey's 81 or JFK's 82.
Logged
Hydera
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2017, 06:33:49 PM »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.


Its not so much Carter as it is Jewish American longstanding support for the Democrats.

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

McGovern got 65%.

Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2017, 05:02:40 PM »

https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections

The above link provides data on the Jewish vote in US presidential elections going back through 1916.

Here is the data for 1976-1992:

1976
Carter: 71
Ford: 27

1980
Carter: 45
Reagan: 39
Anderson: 14

1984
Mondale: 67
Reagan: 31

1988
Dukakis: 64
Bush: 35

1992
Clinton: 80
Bush: 11
Perot: 9

Both Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush experienced large drop-offs in the percentages of the Jewish vote during their respective unsuccessful reelection campaigns.  I understand that many Jews were upset with Carter, but what about Bush?  Why did his share of the Jewish vote drop by over two-thirds from 1988 to 1992?

Why would urban big city Jews like Jimmy Carter's rural hick persona so much? Especially against a northern moderate like Ford. I know that overall New York state was very close in 1976, as the Northeast was not exactly thrilled with such a Deep Southern moderate running.

Even McGovern got 65%, so it's not like Carter's 71 was that huge, especially compared to Humphrey's 81 or JFK's 82.

Ford was so inoffensive and the last 'decent' Republican president. I am just surprised at his relative under performance. There was no anti intellectualism, and no Christian fundamentalism from Ford either. While Carter was openly evangelistic which could have turned a lot of Jews off. I would have expected 1976 to more of a 60-40% thing among Jews considering all that.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2017, 06:13:47 PM »

I wonder about the 71/27 result from 1976 as well. In Brookline, MA for example, Ford won 39.9% compared to Nixon's 37.1% in 1972 and Reagan's 30.4% in 1980. I think idea that Jews swung strongly to Reagan in 1980 is a conservative myth: Jews did reject Carter in large numbers in 1980, but many of the defectors went to Anderson, not Reagan.

As for 1992, Clinton's centrist campaign appealed I'm sure, but you also had the prominence of Patrick J. Buchanan in the 1992 GOP campaign that year, which probably scared off a lot of Jews.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,072
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2017, 06:24:35 PM »

I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,999
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2017, 08:02:17 PM »

I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.

BECAUSE HE WAS A PROGRESSIVE LOL
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,072
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2017, 10:06:57 PM »

I'm more confused by Cox doing so poorly in 1920, as opposed to John W. Davis in 1924.

Also, FDR did progressively better for some reason.

BECAUSE HE WAS A PROGRESSIVE LOL

Very funny, but FDR LOST his overall PV share between 1936 and 1940.

And that still doesn't explain why Cox did so badly, or why Davis of all people did so well.
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,902


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2017, 11:27:33 PM »

Here's a different question;

Why did Obama decline so much among jews in 2012?
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,464
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2017, 12:11:06 PM »


What was going on in Europe in 1940 and 1944?
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,388
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 23, 2017, 05:30:26 AM »

There was a perception that H.W. had failed to support Israel.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,068


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2017, 07:43:50 PM »

Bush Sr. refused to provide a loan guarantee to Israel and came under heavy criticism from the pro-Israel lobby.   His Secretary of State James Baker criticized the Israeli government for continued settlement building and was reputed to have said "F--- the Jews, they didn't vote for us anyway."
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2017, 07:56:11 AM »

Bush didn't sufficiently bend over backwards for Israel?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.225 seconds with 12 queries.