MO-Remington: Hawley +3

[Cactus Jack]

Hawley is favored, but he can't exactly rest on his laurels. McCaskill's numbers are going to be buoyed by anti-Trump sentiment (he has an even approval rating in the state), so a Blanching isn't in the cards. It may have been if Hillary was president.

Add in that Hawley's bounce to the Senate race can be generously taken as being breathtakingly opportunistic and that he's exactly the sort of Missouri politico likely to have an Akin Moment.