OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 108289 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: May 30, 2018, 01:40:20 PM »
Hopefully,  Democrats can steal this race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2018, 09:55:27 PM »
If Democrats steal this race, with Trump's incredibly low approval ratings,  their chances of winning the gubernatorial mansion and sealing the deal on Brown's reelection is that much greater.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2018, 01:30:27 PM »
The race isn't until August 7th, Dems have plenty of time to win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2018, 10:06:55 AM »
Democrats need to steal this race,  to put pressure on DeWine and the House Majority,  without OH and or FL,  it would be difficult to flip not one but both Houses and the Presidential election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2018, 07:21:32 PM »
Pelosi has been leader way too long, longer than should have, and she will step down should the Democrats fail to crack the GOP 230 mark.  A new leader would be anointed.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: June 16, 2018, 02:32:05 PM »
Democrats who take that pledge will end up voting for her anyways, and in OH, O'Connor won't be punished
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: June 17, 2018, 01:41:17 PM »
I don't think voters are buying the fact he pledged not to vote for Pelosi as Speaker
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2018, 09:50:47 AM »
Ryan has been a popular Speaker, McConnell isn't
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 11:57:31 AM »
Joe Kennedy praised Ryan, personally, and is cordial with working out with him and Tim Ryan. All three of them. Policy wise, Democrats as well as Indies don't support him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: July 06, 2018, 01:10:17 PM »
Trump's approvals above 50% in OH and FL, so its not surprising that the GOP has small leads in these key races in OH 12.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: July 06, 2018, 01:25:02 PM »
He has lower approvals in the Clinton states than the ones he won.

http://www.politifact.com/ohio/statements/2018/may/04/jim-renacci/following-trump-endorsement-jim-renacci-cites-poll/

This is the evidence
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: July 06, 2018, 01:58:54 PM »
And most polls show DeWine and ahead of Cordray and the GOP leading in all races except the Senate race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: July 08, 2018, 08:41:51 AM »
Marist put out the poll showing DeWine ahead, granted it was Margin of error poll, which should of been taken with a grain of salt.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: July 08, 2018, 08:45:46 AM »
Others made comments about GoPs chances in the state before I replied, but you didn't bother responding to them
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2018, 08:55:05 AM »
Quote from: THE BuckeyeNut on July 08, 2018, 08:51:29 AM
1: Yes I did.
2: Your comments were particularly dumb, citing singular polls as objective be-all-end-all benchmarks.
3: I’m putting you on ignore. You and Bagel go have fun now.
Who cares
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #15 on: July 17, 2018, 08:09:57 AM »
I concurr that OConnor is losing; however, in most polls, Trump is over 50 in OH and Fl. Dems can still win, but its harder
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #16 on: July 19, 2018, 11:03:31 AM »
Good.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #17 on: July 19, 2018, 12:21:48 PM »
Its the early vote that's showing improvement for Dems. But in the end, it may happen
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #18 on: July 19, 2018, 06:29:47 PM »
I'm not surprised, Dems are energized, primed for the upset.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #19 on: July 20, 2018, 08:18:31 AM »
Its a tilt GOP race; however, I wouldnt write off Dems in these red districts, if its close. 2-3 points, an upset is possible
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #20 on: July 20, 2018, 08:38:13 AM »
Early voting is gonna start in Oct, look for alot of these positive trends in the number of early vote in alot of these races. If the GOP districts are very close, upsets can happen. Like in OH gov race
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #21 on: July 21, 2018, 06:52:43 PM »
It proves that GOP is worried
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #22 on: July 23, 2018, 09:47:39 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on July 23, 2018, 09:39:58 PM
Realistically O'Connor prolly gets mid to high thirties in Muskawhatever county.

I don't know why you are pessimistic, Cordray and OConnor need each other. If OConnor wins, it wilk help Cordray and Dems can undo the unfair GOP gerrymandering
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #23 on: July 23, 2018, 11:12:47 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on July 23, 2018, 09:52:21 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on July 23, 2018, 09:47:39 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on July 23, 2018, 09:39:58 PM
Realistically O'Connor prolly gets mid to high thirties in Muskawhatever county.

I don't know why you are pessimistic, Cordray and OConnor need each other. If OConnor wins, it wilk help Cordray and Dems can undo the unfair GOP gerrymandering

O'Connor won't win. If I am wrong I will be to busy celebrating to care I was wrong which I will freely admit.

I hope he wins, in an upset
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #24 on: July 24, 2018, 09:35:15 PM »
Turnout isnt gonna be that great, that's why these trends are holding
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