OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 109258 times)
JG
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« on: July 30, 2018, 05:54:17 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 30, 2018, 05:40:07 PM
Trump just tweeted about this race for the third time. This time promoting that Balderson will protect your Social Security and Medicare, which deviates from the typical Trump endorsement template.

Sounds like a weird way to promote a Republican.
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JG
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2018, 07:18:53 AM »
Whether O'Connor wins or not, the fact it's a photo-finish in a district that should be an easy win for the republicans spells big trouble for them.
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JG
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Posts: 1,146
« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2018, 05:40:36 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěrú on August 06, 2018, 05:36:27 PM
This is looking like it'll be very close. I think O'Connor could very well pull it off, but I'm going to say Balderson wins 49-48 as my final prediction, just so not to get my hopes up too much.
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JG
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Posts: 1,146
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2018, 08:10:23 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on August 07, 2018, 08:08:28 AM
Bring on the anecdotal turnout and weather reports
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JG
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2018, 06:40:23 PM »
Quote from: Jeppe on August 07, 2018, 06:39:07 PM
I think the 65% target is including e-day, and his numbers in Delaware will inevitably come down as election-day votes come in.
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JG
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2018, 06:51:36 PM »
Stupid early voting. Always getting my hope up even if my brain knows it doesn't mean anything. I still have flashbacks to Hillary leading in Florida and North Carolina in 2016.
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JG
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Posts: 1,146
« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2018, 07:31:08 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on August 07, 2018, 07:30:15 PM
Get ready, it's about to tighten.



I honestly didn't expect Balderson to outperform Trump.
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JG
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Posts: 1,146
« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2018, 07:33:17 PM »
Quote from: ajc0918 on August 07, 2018, 07:31:54 PM
Quote from: JG on August 07, 2018, 07:31:08 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on August 07, 2018, 07:30:15 PM
Get ready, it's about to tighten.



I honestly didn't expect Balderson to outperform Trump.

Trump got 38% overall, Baldy is at 42% with EDay only. Not sure of combined.

Oh sorry, apparently, I can't read. Thanks for the correction!
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JG
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Posts: 1,146
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2018, 07:38:13 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on August 07, 2018, 07:37:23 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on August 07, 2018, 07:36:13 PM
Quote from: new_patomic on August 07, 2018, 07:35:40 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 07, 2018, 07:34:37 PM
Nate Cohn is estimating a total turnout of 220K based on results so far.
Ouch.

Low turnout. Seems like good news for O Connor.
Wouldn't that mean the EV is less than 20% of the total vote?

That's not good news for O'Connor.

Cohn said it would be around 16%, so yeah, not great news.
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