A Republican win here would indicate that the national environment for Democrats has moved substantially towards the Republicans since the PA-18 special.
And there are no signs to indicate that the national environment has gotten any better for Republicans in the mean time, which is why I think O Connor is significantly favored.
I love how the hot takes are beginning a month before the election even happens.
Early voting starts tomorrow -- it's not too early for the hot takes.
Is Ohio one of those states that does registration by party?