OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This is looking like it'll be very close. I think O'Connor could very well pull it off, but I'm going to say Balderson wins 49-48 as my final prediction, just so not to get my hopes up too much.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Republicans talk a lot about voter fraud, but seem to have no problem with voters from Delaware coming to vote in a special election in Ohio.

Comment of the night so far.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

fwiw... Franklin County does have a pretty cool map that is updated regularly by precinct, unfortunately it doesn't make it easy to break down the overall EV/ED by precinct /Place, so just need to keep refreshing, but problem is that there are so many fracking precincts in the CD-12 portion of the County, I can't chase them down individually in real time....

https://vote.franklincountyohio.gov/elections/

Great find! Thanks!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Does anyone know how this district voted in 2008 and 2012?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-ohio-12th-special-election/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Here are the precincts that have fully reported thus far in Franklin County....



Key question is are the outstanding ED precincts more Democratic or less Democratic than the overall County ED to date?

I would guess less Democratic - I could be wrong though...

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I guess Delaware does exist after all!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Is anyone else having flashbacks to PA-18?

I am.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/mobile/000/026/832/jeongtweet.jpg

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

So do you actually have any evidence this had any impact whatsoever or are you just throwing that out there to be snarky?

Can you de-Mod him? A troll should not be a mod.

leave Beet alone!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I absolutely nailed the voting margin, predicting a one point win - but underestimated the vote the major parties would get.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

We won't know who "won" this race for another 2 weeks, because the 8.500 remaining provisional and mail ballots are only counted 10 days after the vote ...

King TRUMP has congratulated the winner Balderson, who was down 64-31 before his majesty came to OH. He has spoken, it is over.

How dare you commit Lèse-majesté!