OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Mr. Illini]

Is IL-06 Lean D now?

[Nyvin]

I wish the city of Delaware had a website reporting results...

[Atlas Force]

This is still a massive swing either way. OH-12 should not be a tie.

[nerd73]

2019/2020: "Fears of a blue wave in 2020 seem to have halted with the GOP's upset 0.1% victory in Kansas' 1st Congressional district."

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Nobody knows where in Delaware these votes are

I'll write to my assemblymen to make sure that results are reported by precinct to prevent permanent neurological damage being done to political junkies.

[ajc0918]

DOC pollster:
https://twitter.com/JasonMMcGrath/status/1027014767561662466

[NOVA Green]

A world where OH-12 and the former PA-18 are coin flips is a world where there is a lot of pain for the GOP.

Truer words of wisdom have seldom been spoken by the mighty IceSpear.... Thinking of quoting this on the Atlas Forum Community deal for simple truths and one-liners, but only if someone else hasn't already done so....

[BudgieForce]

O'Connor did better than I expected tbh. Feeling pretty good about November after tonight..

[100% pro-life no matter what]

A 10-point swing from the presidential election isn't good by any means, but you have to remember that we did not have the advantage of incumbency here.  Plus, these special elections are lower-turnout and give the Democratic Party more opportunity to invest.  A 4 or 5 point national PV loss, on the other hand, would keep a lot of districts red and may save the House.

[IceSpear]

Wasserman is also saying provisionals could matter.

Depends on how many there are and what happens in the handful of remaining precincts.

[Mr. Illini]

Nobody knows where in Delaware these votes are

I'll write to my assemblymen to make sure that results are reported by precinct to prevent permanent neurological damage being done to political junkies.

Thank you for your service

[Zaybay]

A 10-point swing from the presidential election isn't good by any means, but you have to remember that we did not have the advantage of incumbency here.  Plus, these special elections are lower-turnout and give the Democratic Party more opportunity to invest.  A 4 or 5 point national PV loss, on the other hand, would keep a lot of districts red and may save the House.

You cant spin this result as a good thing for the GOP

[Adam Griffin]

It's over:

Troy Balderson (R)   100,044      50.14%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,120      0.56%
Danny O'Connor (D)   98,359      49.30%

7 precincts left; Balderson's 700 vote margin is now 1700

[BudgieForce]

A 10-point swing from the presidential election isn't good by any means, but you have to remember that we did not have the advantage of incumbency here.  Plus, these special elections are lower-turnout and give the Democratic Party more opportunity to invest.  A 4 or 5 point national PV loss, on the other hand, would keep a lot of districts red and may save the House.

I think Democrats could underperform, but not that badly.

[Zaybay]

Calling this race for Balderson

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

BLUE WAVE IS DED

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

It's over:

Troy Balderson (R)   100,044      50.14%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,120      0.56%
Danny O'Connor (D)   98,359      49.30%

7 precincts left; Balderson's 700 vote margin is now 1700

This R+7 district is finally "over", 3+ hours after polls have closed and with 99% in

Of course, it's all "doom & gloom" for the Dems now...  

[ajc0918]

I do appreciate the margin being more than Manchik's vote total. My heart wouldn't be able to take that.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth was dead on.

[Adam Griffin]

A 10-point swing from the presidential election isn't good by any means, but you have to remember that we did not have the advantage of incumbency here.  Plus, these special elections are lower-turnout and give the Democratic Party more opportunity to invest.  A 4 or 5 point national PV loss, on the other hand, would keep a lot of districts red and may save the House.

This special election that local operatives on both sides of the aisle were saying nobody in the district knew about has >90% of the 2014 midterm turnout.

[Politician]

O'Connor actually lost by more than the Green's vote total.

[Nyvin]

It's over:

Troy Balderson (R)   100,044      50.14%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,120      0.56%
Danny O'Connor (D)   98,359      49.30%

7 precincts left; Balderson's 700 vote margin is now 1700

Well, that's all folks.

An R+7 district turned into a tossup race,  and I'm sure Republicans will be jumping with joy.  *rolls eyes*

[IceSpear]

I do appreciate the margin being more than Manchik's vote total. My heart wouldn't be able to take that.

I agree, but that might not last after provisionals.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

It's over:

Troy Balderson (R)   100,044      50.14%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,120      0.56%
Danny O'Connor (D)   98,359      49.30%

7 precincts left; Balderson's 700 vote margin is now 1700

This R+7 district is finally "over", 3+ hours after polls have closed and with 99% in

Of course, it's all "doom & gloom" for the Dems now...

[Mr. Illini]

I wanted to win