VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV) (user search)
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  VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV)  (Read 2846 times)
DTC
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« on: October 18, 2017, 01:17:42 PM »

The difference between these polls is mostly what sample ends up being used. This was a D+10 sample. The R+1 sample the other day was R+2 sample.

The consistency between these polls is Northam being up among independents. He was down among independents a few months ago.

VA 2013 was D+5
VA 2014 was D+0
VA 2016 was D+7

I'm not sure what the turnout will be in 2016, but I'd imagine it'd be at least D+3 in a Trump off-year. And if Gillepsie is losing independents, that is a bad sign.
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