VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV)
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  VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV)
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Author Topic: VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +14 (LV)  (Read 3278 times)
Gustaf
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« Reply #25 on: October 21, 2017, 04:52:11 AM »

Well, that's a relief. For a modest Northam lead you'd expect outliers like this and Monmouth.

How hilarious would it be though if this and the WaPo poll actually were accurate, and Northam ended up winning by more than Murphy.

It'd mean that Democrats probably gain over 10 HoD seats easily.

If Northam wins by double digits, the Democrats would easily take the HoD.

I think it depends a lot on what's driving the win. If it's crossover voting it would do less harm downballot to the GOP but if it's because of turnout differential it'd be a bloodbath.
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« Reply #26 on: October 21, 2017, 04:29:23 PM »

Unlikely, but as others have said, this seems about as out of line as the Monmouth poll. My current guess is Northam by 6, which would mean both Monmouth and Quinnipiac will have egg on their face.
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