Trump approval ratings thread 1.2
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  Trump approval ratings thread 1.2
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.2  (Read 185799 times)
Kamala
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« Reply #125 on: October 26, 2017, 11:36:29 AM »

That’s Walker’s disapproval rating on the second map, not Trump’s (which is 52%)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #126 on: October 26, 2017, 12:46:31 PM »

Gallup, 10/25

Approve 37 (+1)
Disapprove 58 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #127 on: October 26, 2017, 12:48:51 PM »

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, 13572 adults

Approve 39 (nc)  Strongly 21 (nc)
Disapprove 59 (nc)  Strongly 47 (-1)
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #128 on: October 26, 2017, 04:37:23 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2017, 04:42:07 PM by pbrower2a »


WISCONSIN, 10 electoral votes

(I need do nothing with the type size  because the standard type here is 10 points)

PPP. Note that most of the focus is on state issues.

Approval: President Donald Trump 40-52
Governor Scott Walker 43-49
Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R-WI) 35-51

2018 election for Governor: Walker 43, Democratic opponent 48

Lots of issues.


Have roads and highways gotten better or worse under Walker?

Better 20 Worse 38 Much the same 36

Schools

Better 17 Worse 48 Much the same 17

Incentives to Foxconn (big Walker effort)

Support 34 Oppose 41

Motivation of Foxconn deal

Good for Wisconsin 38  Political advantage 49

Will the Foxconn deal be good for Wisconsin -- do you have concerns that the concessions will hurt schools and the public universities, public health, and transportation?

Yes 55 No 24

Environmental concessions on behalf of Foxconn: Concerned or not

Yes 57 No 24

Pushes legal concerns for Foxconn concessions to the Wisconsin Supreme Court instead of to more local judges

Yes 54 No 26

Expansion of Medicaid (opposing Governor Walker)

Support 59 Oppose 21

Support or oppose a law allowing people with student loans to refinance their  loans?

Support 79  Oppose 9

Believe that Scott Walker is excessively supportive of President Trump?

Too supportive 44 Not enough 13 About Right 35

Should Congressional districts be determined by

Legislature and Governor 16

Independent non-partisan commission 63

My conclusion: Wisconsin voters are going to be tired of Governor Walker and his policies. Wisconsin is going to be one of the sharpest battlegrounds in 2018. Democrats will be wise to keep the focus on Governor Walker and his policies, and not on President Trump. Statewide issues, on which Governor Walker and Republican legislators will be vulnerable, will be far more important than national issues in Wisconsin.

Note also: it will be far easier for Wisconsin voters to vote against President Trump if Wisconsin has a Democratic governor who will not do dirty work for the President. Wisconsin will be a laboratory for undoing the damage that a governor similar to President Trump in ideology can do to a state ordinarily split nearly 50-50 in partisan identity.

Paul Ryan will probably be re-elected, assuming that his district is decidedly more R than the US or Wisconsin on the whole.  

This approval map shows  electoral votes to the states on the approval map.




Trump approval, net positive

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

Trump approval, net negative

44-49%
40-45%
39% or lower

But raw disapproval numbers appear instead  of electoral votes here:




Disapproval (net negative for Trump) :

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

(net positive for Trump)
46-49%  
41-45%
40% or lower





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American2020
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« Reply #129 on: October 27, 2017, 06:39:12 AM »

Indiana

Approve: 41%
Disapprove: 45%



https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2017/10/25/poll-donald-trump-under-water-indiana/797998001/
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #130 on: October 27, 2017, 12:14:29 PM »


14% undecided is a lot. Most polling data, including the R-friendly data from Morning Consult, has Trump disapproval in the middle 40s. The 45% disapproval looks very stable. But the approval seems to be down -- way down.

President Trump has done little to win support from those who did not vote for him. To cite the late Lloyd Bentsen on a well-known Indiana politician, "I knew Jack Kennedy, and you're no Jack Kennedy". Of course, Dan Quayle had gotten the nomination for Vice-President and compared himself to John F. Kennedy by age and appearance... a very superficial comparison.

The relevant similarities between Donald Trump and John F. Kennedy are

(1) that they followed Presidents with similar temperaments -- just overlay the maps of Eisenhower and Obama wins and you will see a remarkable similarity

(2) that they won close elections

So what  is the big difference? Age? No. Kennedy was in horrible personal health, and it is quite likely that even without being assassinated he would have died before 1968.

The big one is that JFK recognized that once the election was over he would have to win over some Nixon supporters and find common ground with some moderate-to-liberal Republicans, as on civil rights. Trump continues to insult people who supported Hillary Clinton by continuing to use the offensive canard "Crooked Hillary" and continues to disparage his predecessor. All that he can convince those who 'failed' to vote for him the last time is that that their vote for Hillary Clinton was the right vote to make.

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #131 on: October 27, 2017, 01:02:56 PM »

Gallup, 10/26

Approve 36 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (nc)
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #132 on: October 27, 2017, 01:48:34 PM »

Those military numbers are brutal. Trump's hyper pro-military propaganda isn't working.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #133 on: October 27, 2017, 01:52:32 PM »

Those military numbers are brutal. Trump's hyper pro-military propaganda isn't working.

Especially those among the officers.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #134 on: October 27, 2017, 03:36:06 PM »

All that he can convince those who 'failed' to vote for him the last time is that that their vote for Hillary Clinton was the right vote to make.
Not to mention those who were inclined to vote for Hillary, but didn't because they thought Trump wouldn't win or those who voted third party because they couldn't stomach Hillary but would vote Democrat otherwise. His win was really weak and anyone with common sense would work to endear themselves to "others" instead of disparaging them at every turn.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #135 on: October 27, 2017, 06:15:35 PM »

All that he can convince those who 'failed' to vote for him the last time is that that their vote for Hillary Clinton was the right vote to make.

Not to mention those who were inclined to vote for Hillary, but didn't because they thought Trump wouldn't win or those who voted third party because they couldn't stomach Hillary but would vote Democrat otherwise. His win was really weak and anyone with common sense would work to endear themselves to "others" instead of disparaging them at every turn.

Exactly. Both JFK and Carter knew how shaky their electoral wins were and tried to build upon those wins. JFK was successful, and Carter wasn't. Dubya practically needed 9/11 to keep from being a one-term President. JFK had the promise of being the greatest President since FDR before the original Nightmare on Elm Street  (that is the street his car was on on November 22, 1963 in Dallas).
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Yank2133
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« Reply #136 on: October 27, 2017, 06:24:01 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2017, 06:31:09 PM by Yank2133 »

All that he can convince those who 'failed' to vote for him the last time is that that their vote for Hillary Clinton was the right vote to make.

Not to mention those who were inclined to vote for Hillary, but didn't because they thought Trump wouldn't win or those who voted third party because they couldn't stomach Hillary but would vote Democrat otherwise. His win was really weak and anyone with common sense would work to endear themselves to "others" instead of disparaging them at every turn.

Exactly. Both JFK and Carter knew how shaky their electoral wins were and tried to build upon those wins. JFK was successful, and Carter wasn't. Dubya practically needed 9/11 to keep from being a one-term President. JFK had the promise of being the greatest President since FDR before the original Nightmare on Elm Street  (that is the street his car was on on November 22, 1963 in Dallas).

Yup.

Trump might have sealed his fate when he allowed Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan to take charge of the legislative agenda. Tax cuts for rich people and taking away health insurance from millions are not popular, the GOP lost to the Democrats on those issues.

Trump should have pushed for a serious infrastructure bill. He would have been able to put the Democrats in a bind and it is something people actually wanted.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #137 on: October 27, 2017, 07:28:09 PM »

All that he can convince those who 'failed' to vote for him the last time is that that their vote for Hillary Clinton was the right vote to make.

Not to mention those who were inclined to vote for Hillary, but didn't because they thought Trump wouldn't win or those who voted third party because they couldn't stomach Hillary but would vote Democrat otherwise. His win was really weak and anyone with common sense would work to endear themselves to "others" instead of disparaging them at every turn.

Exactly. Both JFK and Carter knew how shaky their electoral wins were and tried to build upon those wins. JFK was successful, and Carter wasn't. Dubya practically needed 9/11 to keep from being a one-term President. JFK had the promise of being the greatest President since FDR before the original Nightmare on Elm Street  (that is the street his car was on on November 22, 1963 in Dallas).

It’s debatable how much of the Great Society was passed because JFK died, though
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #138 on: October 28, 2017, 12:17:26 PM »

Gallup, 10/27

Approve 36 (nc)
Disapprove 59 (+1)
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HST1948
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« Reply #139 on: October 28, 2017, 07:34:57 PM »

Washington Post/ University of Maryland (National Poll)

Approve: 37
Disapprove: 63

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/28/National-Politics/Polling/release_497.xml?tid=a_inl
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #140 on: October 28, 2017, 07:41:21 PM »


Strongly: 17/48

Their previous poll was 39/57, strongly 26/48.
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OneJ
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« Reply #141 on: October 28, 2017, 07:42:29 PM »


Cheesy
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IceSpear
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« Reply #142 on: October 28, 2017, 08:29:36 PM »


I initially read that as Maryland only, and was surprised it was so high. lol
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #143 on: October 28, 2017, 11:03:56 PM »


The big 60+ is here!
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Doimper
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« Reply #144 on: October 28, 2017, 11:11:47 PM »


That's a sharp dropoff in strong approval.
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Person Man
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« Reply #145 on: October 29, 2017, 07:17:47 AM »


At this point, with him with such high disapprovals, I have no idea if anyone has ever salvaged a presidency after this. This is beyond Harry Truman.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #146 on: October 29, 2017, 08:23:29 AM »

WSJ/NBC, Oct 23-26, 900 adults (change from last month)

Approve 38 (-5)
Disapprove 58 (+6)

Congressional ballot: D+7 (48-41), was D+6 in Sept.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #147 on: October 29, 2017, 12:03:29 PM »

Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Poll - Arkansas

47.5%  Approve
45.5%  Disapprove

Source
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #148 on: October 29, 2017, 12:05:13 PM »

Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Poll - Arkansas

47.5%  Approve
45.5%  Disapprove

Source

Trump won Arkansas 60.4-33.8.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #149 on: October 29, 2017, 12:07:17 PM »

Gallup, 10/28

Approve 35 (-1)
Disapprove 60 (+1)

Trump is approaching his worst Gallup result: 34/61 on 8/31 and 9/1.
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