Why is the Virginia libertarian party so strong?
A lot of techy, fiscally conservative people turned off by GOP social conservatism in NoVA and the Tidewater. Basically the Libertarian Party's base
This is a nice theory but in reality, Johnson underperformed his national vote percentage in NoVA and much of the Tidewater. This is before mentioning that Libertarians have little to no appeal whatsoever in Appalachia and the Black Belt.
Sarvis just happened to be a relatively strong candidate while simultaneously running against two unpopular candidates in 2013, and I don't think Hyra is gonna replicate that, let alone get close to the 5% this poll predicts he will.