The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2

[Mr. Morden]

Bullock did an AMA on Reddit, and ignored all the questions about 2020:

https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/7xlnxi/im_steve_bullock_the_first_governor_to_protect/

Kander’s next visit to NH confirmed:

http://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-kander-to-return-to-nh-tuesday-to-voice-opposition-to-gop-voting-related-bills/18155125

And finally, Politico Magazine has a long piece on Buttigieg:

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/02/16/pete-buttigieg-president-2020-profile-feature-217001

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[Mr. Morden]

Here's this week's #2020Vision column:

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/16/politics/2020-vision-democratic-spring-training/index.html

Most of it stuff that's already been posted here.  Though a bit off topic, they do flag this meeting between Garcetti and Trudeau:

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Fun fact: We are now closer to the 2020 Iowa caucus then we are to the 2016 Iowa caucus.

[RogueBeaver]

Garcetti and Buttigieg to SC.

[Mr. Morden]

Sunday morning talk show watch:

Jeff Flake will be on Face the Nation on Sunday, while Kasich will be on State of the Union:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NEWS_SHOWS?SITE=AP

[MAINEiac4434]

Fun fact: We are now closer to the 2020 Iowa caucus then we are to the 2016 Iowa caucus.

Thank you for this.

Unironically. That actually makes me feel really good.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Bullock did an AMA on Reddit, and ignored all the questions about 2020:

https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/7xlnxi/im_steve_bullock_the_first_governor_to_protect/

Kander’s next visit to NH confirmed:

http://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-kander-to-return-to-nh-tuesday-to-voice-opposition-to-gop-voting-related-bills/18155125

And finally, Politico Magazine has a long piece on Buttigieg:

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/02/16/pete-buttigieg-president-2020-profile-feature-217001

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God, this is amazing. He doesn't go all "I'm focused on my current job", "I'm not running for President" etc. He's just being honest. This piece just reaffirmed my opinion of him as the best rising star in the U.S.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gillibrand, who is up for re-election this year, pledges to serve a full term. This means she's not running until at least 2024.

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/02/16/gillibrand-accepts-nomination-for-another-term-promises-to-serve-all-of-it-261836

[tosk]

Gillibrand, who is up for re-election this year, pledges to serve a full term. This means she's not running until at least 2024.

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/02/16/gillibrand-accepts-nomination-for-another-term-promises-to-serve-all-of-it-261836

unless she's lying?

[Mr. Morden]

Gillibrand, who is up for re-election this year, pledges to serve a full term. This means she's not running until at least 2024.

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/02/16/gillibrand-accepts-nomination-for-another-term-promises-to-serve-all-of-it-261836

That doesn't read to me like a "pledge" though.  It's not really Shermanesque.  Here's the quote:

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So she says she "plans" to serve a full term, but that's weak tea, because "plans" means it's provisional.  She's not really committing to anything.  Plans can change.  She was also asked about this just last week, and said that it's "premature to even consider 2020", which reads as "I'm thinking about running".  I don't think anything's changed in the past week.  It's just that she words her answers a little differently each time.  If she starts giving more forceful denials as we get later into the year, I'll pay attention to it, but this denial doesn't seem very convincing.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden is talking to his advisors about 2020:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/biden-in-public-and-private-tiptoes-toward-a-2020-run/2018/02/17/fa2349fc-1425-11e8-a68c-e9374188170e_story.html

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There’s also talk in Biden’s circle of a one term pledge:

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[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Gillibrand, who is up for re-election this year, pledges to serve a full term. This means she's not running until at least 2024.

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/02/16/gillibrand-accepts-nomination-for-another-term-promises-to-serve-all-of-it-261836

What about Obama? I hear he's still building up his seniority or something.

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https://www.huffingtonpost.com/ian-reifowitz/elizabeth-warren-2016-obama-dnc_b_4408569.html

[Mr. Morden]

Sunday morning talk show watch:

Jeff Flake will be on Face the Nation on Sunday, while Kasich will be on State of the Union:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NEWS_SHOWS?SITE=AP

Looks like Sanders also made an appearance on Meet the Press:

https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/status/965237615351001091

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I remember the days of "Rubio and Cruz's Senate careers are done if they run in 2016" too.

No reason for Gillibrand not to pull a Rubio and miss some Senate time in order to run a possibly successful campaign.

[Mr. Morden]

The Hill lists all of the early primary state visits by the prospective (and in Delaney's case, not just prospective) 2020 Dem. presidential candidates:

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/374318-2020-dem-contenders-travel-to-key-primary-states

Though, honestly, it's incomplete.  E.g., Tulsi Gabbard did an Iowa trip in 2017, and isn't listed.  Also, I think this only goes back to the 2016 GE, because Booker, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Warren all did several early primary state visits in the fall of 2016 to campaign for Clinton and/or other Dem. candidates.

Anyway, on their list of early state visits since the 2016 GE, Kander comes out ahead, followed by Delaney (already officially in the race), followed by O'Malley, followed by a tie between Bernie Sanders and Tim Ryan.

[Mr. Morden]

I mentioned this in its own thread, but might as well flag it here.  From this profile of Tom Steyer:

https://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2018-02-16/tom-steyer-the-billionaire-who-could

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[Mr. Morden]

This story talks about Garcetti's trip to South Carolina.  And at the end, it mentions that he's also set to make another trip to Nevada soon:

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/la-mayor-eric-garcetti-heads-to-south-carolina-as-democratic/article_bba2504c-1588-11e8-a698-97534b10fde1.html

[Mr. Morden]

CPAC starts in two days but, as with last year, it's mostly been gutted of Trump-skeptical voices, and so it's not a testing ground for likely presidential candidates in the next election cycle, as it has been in years past.  No Kasich, Amash, Sasse, etc., so we're not getting anyone with much chance of running against Trump for the 2020 GOP nomination, unless you actually think Ted Cruz is in that category.  Oddly enough though, Gary Johnson will be there, though participating in a panel discussion rather than a solo speaking slot:

http://cpac.conservative.org/agenda/
http://cpac.conservative.org/speakers/

Oh, and it's not just for Americans.  Among the scheduled speakers are Nigel Farage and Marion Marechal-Le Pen. 

[NYSforKennedy2024]

CPAC starts in two days but, as with last year, it's mostly been gutted of Trump-skeptical voices, and so it's not a testing ground for likely presidential candidates in the next election cycle, as it has been in years past.  No Kasich, Amash, Sasse, etc., so we're not getting anyone with much chance of running against Trump for the 2020 GOP nomination, unless you actually think Ted Cruz is in that category.  Oddly enough though, Gary Johnson will be there, though participating in a panel discussion rather than a solo speaking slot:

http://cpac.conservative.org/agenda/
http://cpac.conservative.org/speakers/

Oh, and it's not just for Americans.  Among the scheduled speakers are Nigel Farage and Marion Marechal-Le Pen. 

>Rick Harrison from Pawn Stars as a testimonial of entrepreneuriship
>Education secretary interviewed by The Heritage Foundation

I might actually be a Blue Dog Democrat by 2020.

[NewYorkExpress]

CPAC starts in two days but, as with last year, it's mostly been gutted of Trump-skeptical voices, and so it's not a testing ground for likely presidential candidates in the next election cycle, as it has been in years past.  No Kasich, Amash, Sasse, etc., so we're not getting anyone with much chance of running against Trump for the 2020 GOP nomination, unless you actually think Ted Cruz is in that category.  Oddly enough though, Gary Johnson will be there, though participating in a panel discussion rather than a solo speaking slot:

http://cpac.conservative.org/agenda/
http://cpac.conservative.org/speakers/

Oh, and it's not just for Americans.  Among the scheduled speakers are Nigel Farage and Marion Marechal-Le Pen. 

If Cruz wins re-election and is still angry about Trump saying his father was involved in JFK's death, he could well launch a primary challenge.

[America Needs R'hllor]

CPAC starts in two days but, as with last year, it's mostly been gutted of Trump-skeptical voices, and so it's not a testing ground for likely presidential candidates in the next election cycle, as it has been in years past.  No Kasich, Amash, Sasse, etc., so we're not getting anyone with much chance of running against Trump for the 2020 GOP nomination, unless you actually think Ted Cruz is in that category.  Oddly enough though, Gary Johnson will be there, though participating in a panel discussion rather than a solo speaking slot:

http://cpac.conservative.org/agenda/
http://cpac.conservative.org/speakers/

Oh, and it's not just for Americans.  Among the scheduled speakers are Nigel Farage and Marion Marechal-Le Pen. 

Nice to see that freedom is no longer important for American Conservatives, and fascism is tolerated!

[henster]

Why isn't there a progressive version of CPAC?

[Mr. Morden]

Why isn't there a progressive version of CPAC?

The Center for American Progress had its "Ideas Conference" last May (billed as a Democratic answer to CPAC), which featured many of the likely 2020 presidential candidates:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=263863.0

Maybe they'll have another one this year.  I don't know.

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a dispatch from Kander's New Hampshire trip:

http://www.wmur.com/article/voting-rights-activist-potential-2020-presidential-candidate-kander-returns-to-nh/18370645

Oddly enough, one of the things Kander mentioned while there was that he'd like to see the voting age lowered to 16.  Will be interesting to see if he tries to take that into a presidential campaign.  Sounds like it might be a better gimmick than Chafee's support for the metric system. 

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Here's a dispatch from Kander's New Hampshire trip:

http://www.wmur.com/article/voting-rights-activist-potential-2020-presidential-candidate-kander-returns-to-nh/18370645

Oddly enough, one of the things Kander mentioned while there was that he'd like to see the voting age lowered to 16.  Will be interesting to see if he tries to take that into a presidential campaign.  Sounds like it might be a better gimmick than Chafee's support for the metric system. 

>Kander
>Chafee
>Kander has already lost one election

Please no.