Here Lies the Missouri Democratic Party. At least they were taken out swiftly in just 2 election cycles.
Blunt is going to be extremely vulnerable in 2022 if Trump wins reelection, but I think he'll retire anyway. As for this poll... McCaskill is a uniquely bad fit for the state, so not sure why so many people are surprised by this. I also disagree with the consensus that this race will be "very close and competitive", but we'll see. IN is looking a lot better for Ds than MO anyway IMO.
I won't be surprised at all if Donnelly pulls through. Unlike McCaskill he is a genuine moderate, and he might have won in '12 even without the rape gaffes.
Mccaskill would have defeated akin either way. But I have said she will likely lose next year due to poor astrological transits.
Auditors race has a lot more unknowns and it's not even certain Todd Richardson will run. But it's a race easier to localize and for what it is worth Galloway has very pleasant astrological transits on election night.