MO-MOScout: GOP leading Senate and Auditor's race, Hawley at 50% (user search)
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  MO-MOScout: GOP leading Senate and Auditor's race, Hawley at 50% (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-MOScout: GOP leading Senate and Auditor's race, Hawley at 50%  (Read 3774 times)
crazy jimmie
jamespol
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« on: September 01, 2017, 03:42:40 PM »

This looks a lot like the numbers I'm hearing from colleagues working in MO.

The RTW ballot initiative could wind up saving McCaskill in the long run.

I do not think McCaskill can win though. Her astrological transits on election night are not very good.
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crazy jimmie
jamespol
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2017, 05:55:08 PM »

Here Lies the Missouri Democratic Party. At least they were taken out swiftly in just 2 election cycles.

Blunt is going to be extremely vulnerable in 2022 if Trump wins reelection, but I think he'll retire anyway. As for this poll... McCaskill is a uniquely bad fit for the state, so not sure why so many people are surprised by this. I also disagree with the consensus that this race will be "very close and competitive", but we'll see. IN is looking a lot better for Ds than MO anyway IMO.

I won't be surprised at all if Donnelly pulls through. Unlike McCaskill he is a genuine moderate, and he might have won in '12 even without the rape gaffes.

Mccaskill would have defeated akin either way.  But I have said she will likely lose next year due to poor astrological transits.

Auditors race has a lot more unknowns and it's not even certain Todd Richardson will run.  But it's a race easier to localize and for what it is worth Galloway has very pleasant astrological transits on election night.
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crazy jimmie
jamespol
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2017, 01:41:08 PM »

Let's not get to heated over counterfactual arguments here.  There is no way to prove them.
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