What if the 2005 election was called this Autumn
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  What if the 2005 election was called this Autumn
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Author Topic: What if the 2005 election was called this Autumn  (Read 685 times)
Rural Radical
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« on: August 20, 2005, 04:08:39 PM »

What if the election was in Say October of this year rather than last May.

This is my opinion as what would happen. As ever I welcome your views.

Labour (40%, +4%). 382 (+26)
Conservative (33%). 188 (-10)
Lib Dem (18%, -4%). 47 (-15)
SNP, 6
Plaid Cymru 4 (+1)
KHHC 1
Independent Labour 1
DUP 9
Sinn Fien 5
SDLP 3
UUP 1

Labour Majority 118

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2005, 04:13:38 PM »

While we don't know what the political landscape will be like come October, Labour have certainly gained ground since the election and would have held those socially polarised seats they lost due to a turnout fight (Bethnal Green & Bow, "Forest of Dean", Gravesham, Shrewsbury & Atcham etc).
Hard to say what'd happen to the LibDems actually...
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Rural Radical
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« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2005, 04:51:37 PM »

Labour Gain from Conservative:
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweedale
Clywd West
Presili Pembrokeshire
Wellingborough
Harwich
Hemel Hempstead
St. Albans
Croyden Central
Hornchurch
Ilford North
Gravesham
Milton Keynes North East
Reading East
Rugby & Kenilworth
SHREWSBURY & ATCHAM - YEEEEESSSSSSSS
THE WREKIN - YAHOOOOOO
Scarborough & Whitby
Shipley

 Labour Gain from Lib Dem :
Chesterfield
Hornsey & Wood Green
Manchester Withington
Rochdale - revenge is sweet
Falmouth & Camborne
Leeds North West

Labour Gain from SNP :
Dundee East

Conservative Gain from Lib Dem :
Carshalton & Wallington
Westmorland & Lunesdale
Eastleigh
Romsey
Somerton & Frome
Taunton
Hereford
Solihull

Plaid Cymru Gain from Lib Dem :
Ceredigion

These were all based on a uniform swing which of course wouldnt happen. You could also add to the possible Labour Gains Lancaster, Forest of Dean, Kettering, Northampton South, Boston, Birmingham Yardley, Monmouth, Dumbarton East and Brent East.

Carmarthen East & Dinefwr would also be very close.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2005, 04:58:14 PM »

Carmarthen East & Dinefwr would also be very close.

Ah... yes... that old bastard wouldn't have died just before polling day would he?
Well spotted that
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kashifsakhan
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« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2005, 06:56:12 AM »

im not so sure about ur predictions. i think one of the reasons why labour has done well after the election is because they are responding to what the people did on election day 2005, and have changed their look a little bit.
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