Will Weld break 40%?

[they don't love you like i love you]

I'm voting no but I won't be suprised if he does. Still I would be quite suprised if he gets above 43%.

[they don't love you like i love you]

The more interesting question might be if he wins Nassau and Suffolk counties and Staten Island.

I'd say no for Nassau but don't know about the other two.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Either way Spitzer is unbeatable

What kind of informed politico can truthfully say that they believe a canidate is "unbeatable". There have been so many surprise upsets and near misses in recent memory.

At this point, I believe Spitzer will win, and by a healthy margin. But is he "unbeatable"? No one is..

Barring some major scandal he is.  When someone as well known as Spitzer is has disapprovals in the teens & generally has an approval- dispproval gap of 50% he is virtually impossible to beat, the only one with a chane is Rudy & he isn't running.

This reminds me of a year back when people told me "Toomey could never beat Specter.  Well, He might not of, but it certainly would not have taken much.

and this reminds me of the Republicans who thought Obama was beatable

[they don't love you like i love you]

and this reminds me of the Republicans who thought Obama was beatable

He was. Just not with the trash that we put against him.

Obama was a shoo-in from day one. Pre-scandal breaking, he led his original opponent by 10 points.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Let's pretend there was some House seat. The first poll from it said that the incumbent had a 60-20 lead over his likely challenger. Wouldn't most agree the incumbent would be a shoo-in? Or that polls could change and the challenger could still somehow close that 40 point gap.

And if I remember correct, Spitzer-Weld poll numbers now are about equal to what the Bush-Kerry poll numbers were in Utah.

Do the math.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Yet it's not much different.

You know how all the Republicans here would be acting if Santorum had a 40 point lead on his likely opponent and Democrats argued the guy still had a chance.