Apologies for the blatant self-promotion, but here's a copy-paste of the 2036 map from my timeline. (Ignore the expanded EV counts.)
This is what I envision a socially liberal Republican victory would look like, with California barely but decisively going Republican. In my timeline, I have the Republican nominee be
the perfect fit for Calfornia (feminist Asian woman who served as Cali governor), which actually goes to show that it would actually be quite difficult to get California to flip (you'd have to max out Asians and upscale whites while also getting a decent portion of Hispanics).
Meanwhile, I have most of the Midwest going GOP, while the South is divided based on their income and race (the former is why Georgia goes GOP; the latter is why Mississippi goes Dem). Kentucky and WV go Dem (and Tennessee nearly so) as a reaction against a "coastal elite" GOP. In the Northeast, you have "ancestral" Democrats allowing Massachusetts, Vermont, etc. go Dem, when income would predict that the GOP should sweep the region.
