Roanoke College - VA: Northam +7
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September 23, 2021, 04:18:59 PM

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  2021 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Roanoke College - VA: Northam +7
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Author Topic: Roanoke College - VA: Northam +7  (Read 1406 times)
Gass3268
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« on: August 22, 2017, 03:14:28 PM »

Northam: 43%
Gillespie: 36%

Source
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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2017, 03:19:45 PM »

FiveThirtyEight gives Ronaoke College only a C+ rating, so I won't put too much weight into this. The most interesting statistic I see in this poll is that while Gillespie has more name recognition, more people dislike him than Northam.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2017, 03:32:53 PM »

FiveThirtyEight gives Ronaoke College only a C+ rating, so I won't put too much weight into this. The most interesting statistic I see in this poll is that while Gillespie has more name recognition, more people dislike him than Northam.

Sure, but this is three straight polls all around a 6 point lead for Northam.
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OneJ
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« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2017, 04:57:20 PM »

Lean D. Glad to see Northam is not in too much trouble right now, but I'm prepared for potential tightening in this race.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2017, 05:07:08 PM »

Tossup, the southern coming home effect is extremely painful for democrats, don't get ahead of yourselves.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2017, 07:22:15 PM »

Tossup, the southern coming home effect is extremely painful for democrats, don't get ahead of yourselves.

It doesn't matter if the NOVA coming home effect is going to cancel that one out, as usual.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2017, 03:19:08 AM »

Gillespie isn't going to win, but Roanoke is an extremely bad pollster.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2017, 10:36:08 AM »

Guys 2014, Gillespie was the underdog and almost pulled off a win. I wouldn't count Gillespie out of this race at all.
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2017, 10:49:14 AM »

Guys 2014, Gillespie was the underdog and almost pulled off a win. I wouldn't count Gillespie out of this race at all.

TBF, Gillespie rope a doped all summer to trick Warner into minimizing the money advantage Warner could have leveraged. Northam wont fall for that.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2017, 07:12:18 PM »

Guys 2014, Gillespie was the underdog and almost pulled off a win. I wouldn't count Gillespie out of this race at all.

2014 was also a wave Red year, don't get too much on the end of your seat for this one. Tilt to Lean D, just cause Gillespie is a really solid candidate and Northam is the epitome of meh.
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2017, 07:25:01 PM »
« Edited: August 27, 2017, 07:26:42 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »

Fast Terry had similar numbers to Da' C*&ch, the former was better known than Northam and the latter was arguably less competent than Gillespie is now....the result ended up being razor thin.

And this was in the year of the Shutdown, which most blamed on Republicans, AND hit Virginia fairly hard, and yet.

So yeah, no counting Gill out yet.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2017, 12:13:41 PM »

I highly doubt Northam can beat Gillespie. Gillespie is a smart political operative who can make up his weakness as was seen in the supposedly SAFE D senate seat in 2014. Come election day and I am proven right, I will enjoy you all eating crow.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2017, 12:30:28 PM »

I highly doubt Northam can beat Gillespie. Gillespie is a smart political operative who can make up his weakness as was seen in the supposedly SAFE D senate seat in 2014. Come election day and I am proven right, I will enjoy you all eating crow.

Lol
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Beet
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« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2017, 12:32:45 PM »

Northam can't get above the mid to low 40s. This is getting a little concerning at this point.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2017, 12:35:50 PM »

Northam can't get above the mid to low 40s. This is getting a little concerning at this point.

Gillespie can't get above the mid 30s, so...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2017, 12:50:57 PM »

Not sure why any Republican would get their hopes up here, honestly. This is Virginia, not Florida or Wisconsin. They couldn't even win a statewide race in 2013, and with the state continuing to trend strongly Democratic, 2017 isn't going to be easier for them. I think Gillespie will make it closer than people expect, but expecting him to win this race is really a bridge too far. The only reason this is Lean instead of Safe D is because Gillespie is a pretty decent candidate and political operative.

Exactly
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« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2017, 01:57:19 PM »


Gesundheit.
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