According to Trump all should be dark blue as his popularity is massive, he is the most yugely popular president ever. The polls and news about his unpopularity are all fake. And off course any state where the GOP doesn't win was because it was rigged or illegals voter en masse.
That being said in all seriousness generally sounds about right, my only question is with Wisconsin as I thought Scott Walker was not that popular, but is he term limited? Kansas is another interesting one as although a staunchly GOP state, Sam Brownback has the lowest approval rating of any governor, but I don't believe he is running again. Connecticut I thought was vulnerable although maybe the anti-Trump sentiment will save the Democrats there. Nevada I also thought was fairly solid GOP in the next state election as well.
Walker's approval rating have recovered a bit but hes definitely not safe so thats why I have it only has likely republican