2018 gubernatorial elections
Rick Scott-Republican: 25-8
Jay Inslee-Democratic: 24+8
Independent: 1_
Democratic gains
Illinois
Wisconsin
Michigan
Ohio
Georgia
Florida
Kansas
New Mexico
Maine
Republican gains
Connecticut
Kansas and especially Georgia are big reaches, but otherwise this is about what I'd expect.
Georgia would be an upset but Kansas not really. The Kanss GOP is in the toilet because of Brownback. Look at KS-02, it was partly Trump but Brownback also dragged down Estes. It wasn't expected to be close but it was. So I think the Dems can do well in Kansas at the state level in 2018.