Nelson and Manchin are the only Trump state democrats to lead a poll yet we are supposed to believe 2018 is a democratic wave.
But when push comes to shove, the GOP base will come out in full force to defend their president, nationalize the race and the GOP wins, just like in GA-6, just like in Virginia, where Northam only talks about Trump and that made him lose his lead, and we know this is going to be his strategy, so governor Gillespie is already a reality.
You call narrowly winning a district which Mitt Romney won by 23% coming out in full force? Look at the generic congressional polls. The Republicans probably will narrowly keep their majority because of gerrymandering, but they'll be slaughtered in the PV. Just look at the generic congressional race polls (they probably aren't terribly accurate but when you're trailing by 8 on average you're doing something wrong).
Anyway, I probably should endorse Spenditnow for defeating Pieter "Pete" Hoekstra in 2012 so that Trump could put him where he belongs: ambassador to the wonderful country of the Netherlands 
. Er gaat niks boven Groningen (I actually hate that place though)
And democrats always underperform the generic ballot, pattern has also been undecideds breaking for the GOP, they see both parties as bad, so the democrats come with the message that they should vote for them because they are not the evil fascist GOP, the undecideds then proceed to choose the GOP.
Democrats aren't winning anything at Michigan when blacks don't care about the party without Obama, and they are the ones they need to win, if it's white vs white, GOP wins them 3-2 nationally and does well because low black turnout = whiter midterm.
Does nobody remember Gary Peters? He got the most votes in 2014.
