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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Realigning elections
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Author Topic: Realigning elections  (Read 74233 times)
muon2
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« Reply #125 on: December 21, 2012, 09:51:26 pm »

Clearly 1992 was a realignment, since Democrats have won 4 out of 6 elections since then, and the way different regions have voted is largely the same since then, and it wasn't before.  Here's mine:

1932 Democrats won 8 out of 12
1980 Republicans won 3 out of 3
1992 Democrats won 4 out of 6

Just for kicks to prove that '92 was a realignment, let me show you what percentages of the elections from 1932-1988 and from 1992-2012 went for a given party.

1932-1988:


Electoral Vote Count (Using Today's EVs)
Republicans- 325
Democrats- 213

1992-2012:


Democrats- 284
Republicans- 216
Tie- 38

Granted, 1932-1988 was a much longer period of time, but if that's not a realignment, then I don't know what is.

You might make it more clearly by splitting that long stretch into 1932-1960 and 1964-1988. Then you'd have 8, 7, and 6 elections in your representative maps.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #126 on: December 22, 2012, 06:34:21 pm »

1932-1960:


Electoral Vote Count (Using Today's EVs)
Democrats- 394
Republicans- 60
Tie- 84

1964-1988:


Electoral Vote Count (Using Today's EVs):
Republicans- 449
Democrats- 76
Tie- 16

1992-2012:


Democrats- 284
Republicans- 216
Tie- 38
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