Two unlikely scenarios: Trump's approval rating in 2020
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  Two unlikely scenarios: Trump's approval rating in 2020
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Author Topic: Two unlikely scenarios: Trump's approval rating in 2020  (Read 1080 times)
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 15, 2017, 12:33:57 PM »

First, let's say Trump's approval rating is sitting in the 20-25% range come election day 2020, and the Democratic ticket is Booker/Harris. what does the map look like in this scenario?

And for an even more unrealistic scenario, let's say Trump's approval rating is in the 60-65% range come election day, and the Democratic ticket is Sanders/Brown. what does the map look like there?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2017, 12:42:18 PM »


485: Cory Booker/Kamala Harris - 58.4%
53: Donald Trump/Jeff Sessions - 35.0%
Austin Petersen/John Monds - 5.5%
Others - 2.1%


451: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 60.4%
87: Bernie Sanders/Sherrod Brown - 33.9%
Robert Sarvis/John Monds - 5.1%
Others - 0.6%
94.3%
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Coraxion
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2017, 01:20:30 PM »

^ Pretty good, but I don't see AL flipping before LA.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2017, 03:39:07 PM »


485: Cory Booker/Kamala Harris - 58.4%
53: Donald Trump/Jeff Sessions - 35.0%
Austin Petersen/John Monds - 5.5%
Others - 2.1%


451: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 60.4%
87: Bernie Sanders/Sherrod Brown - 33.9%
Robert Sarvis/John Monds - 5.1%
Others - 0.6%
94.3%

I think in the first scenario, Booker wins LA, loses Alabama (though it may be close with really high black turnout and an extremely unpopular Trump) and a third party conservative takes Utah with Trump coming in third place behind Booker. your second map is pretty much spot on though.
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