John McCain vs. Al Gore, 2000

[A18]

McCain probably does a few points better in the popular vote than Bush. Anyone have any polling data? Maps?

[A18]

Looks pretty realistic, though I think some of those states would be darker (Nevada, Alaska, perhaps NH) and maybe add Wisconsin to the McCain column.

[MaC]

maybe, maybe not.  Gotta remember, at the time Gore was pretty popular as a VP when trying to distance himself during the Clinton impeachment, and McCain was not the media whore he is now.

[Cashcow]

McCain - 301
Gore - 237

Michigan but not Minnesota? Why the hell? It was +5 to Gore. MN was 2.

[skybridge]

Gore wins because McCain is too honest to pull any Florida business.

[© tweed]

McCain 297, Gore 241

[Lincoln Republican]

John McCain        364     54%
Al Gore                174     45%
Others                     0      1%

[Stranger in a strange land]

I'd have to say McCain would win by a lot. His EV margin would certainly be bigger than Bush's, and there certainly would have been no Florida-type court battle. Gore might have done a little better in the South than he did in OTL, seeing as he was southern and McCain wasn't.

[A18]

Gore wins because McCain is too honest to pull any Florida business.

You think the race would be the exact same?

[The Duke]

McCain smokes Gore.

[True Democrat]

A lot of people will think I'm crazy, but:

[Colin]

A lot of people will think I'm crazy, but:

Yep you're crazy.

[True Democrat]

A lot of people will think I'm crazy, but:

Yep you're crazy.

I think the race would be totally different.  The reason the electoral map is the way it is today is because the Bush-Gore race.  States like Delaware and California were not Democratic states in 2000.  They were Clinton states.  Since McCain is closer to Clinton than Bush, he would have won a lot of voters in these states.

[Speed of Sound]

While McCain wouldve been a stronger candidate, the primaries would have hurt alot, causing a coinflip election both with PV and EV

[Kevin]

I think once McCain got on the campagin trail he and people realized he was a moderate he would win easliy.

[nini2287]

I think once McCain got on the campagin trail he and people realized he was a moderate he would win easliy.

He really isn't a true moderate.  His strength is getting the media to believe he is.

[Reignman]

McCain would pick up Iowa, Oregon, and Wisconsin for sure.

[George W. Hobbes]

I think once McCain got on the campagin trail he and people realized he was a moderate he would win easliy.

He really isn't a true moderate.  His strength is getting the media to believe he is.

C'est vrai.

[Nym90]

I think that overall McCain would have won by more than Bush did, although the GOP base wouldn't have turned out as well as it did. This may have had an effect down-ballot somewhat.

[Ronald Reagan]

Gore - 296
McCain - 242 (McCain couldn't bring out the conservative GOP voters like he wanted to? idk)

[CPT MikeyMike]

McCain would draw more of the moderates away from Gore.

[adam]

McCain - 47% - 266 EVs
Gore - 48% - 272 EVs
Nader - 3%
Buchanun - 2%

I'm actually going to stray from the crowd here. I think that McCain will be busted for a few of his liberal votes and stances and this I think this would increase the "Buchanun Effect".

[DownWithTheLeft]

John McCain 414 EV 51%
Al Gore 124 44%
Nader 5%
Buchanan .5%

[Reignman]

Gore 273-265

McCain 48%
Gore 47%
Nader 3%
Buchanan 2%

States within 1%: Oregon, Minnesota, Tennessee, and Florida.

[jerusalemcar5]

John McCain 414 EV 51%
Al Gore 124 44%
Nader 5%
Buchanan .5%

New Jersey?? California??  Gore would definitely do better in the Midwest and probably pick up Pennsylvania and maybe Florida.  You overestimate McCain's popularity. 

No way.  McCain definitely loses those states.