MO-Remington: GOP sweep

[RogueBeaver]

Hawley leads McCaskill 50/44, Hartzler 48/44, Schmidt 49/45, Smith 48/45, Richardson 48/43.

[The Other Castro]

Conducted by Cruz's former campaign manager's firm, but yeah this race is going to be competitive and that shouldn't come as a surprise. Toss-Up.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not surprising. This race is likely R.

[Kamala]

Yep - sounds about right with the level of competitiveness of this seat. I think the victor will be decided by turnout - if Republican turnout is depressed and Democratic is heightened, I could see McCaskill winning by a decent margin (4-6%)

I don't think she was ever going to lose by more than 5% anyway.

[MT Treasurer]

RIP Devout Centrist, lol.

Not surprising. This race is likely R.

This, even though the GOP obviously can't take anything for granted.
Btw: Before the McCaskill fanboys try to spin this, Remington's final poll in 2016 was very accurate (Blunt +3). https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250381.0

In any case, this race isn't Lean D, LMAO.

[Heisenberg]

Freedom poll!

[smoltchanov]

RIP Devout Centrist, lol.

This, even though the GOP obviously can't take anything for granted.
Btw: Before the McCaskill fanboys try to spin this, Remington's final poll in 2016 was very accurate (Blunt +3). https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250381.0

In any case, this race isn't Lean D, LMAO.

You think "devoted progressive" would poll better?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RIP Devout Centrist, lol.

This, even though the GOP obviously can't take anything for granted.
Btw: Before the McCaskill fanboys try to spin this, Remington's final poll in 2016 was very accurate (Blunt +3). https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250381.0

In any case, this race isn't Lean D, LMAO.

You think "devoted progressive" would poll better?

Devout Centrist is an actual user on Atlas who foolishly thinks that McCaskill is favored.

[windjammer]

Conducted by Cruz's former campaign manager's firm, but yeah this race is going to be competitive and that shouldn't come as a surprise. Toss-Up.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Ik this may be early and GOP leaning, but this aint good for dems any way you look at it. I'm a bit nervous.

[krazen1211]

Great polls!

This will be a big Blanching.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ik this may be early and GOP leaning, but this aint good for dems any way you look at it. I'm a bit nervous.

The dems were always going to lose senate seats in 2018. McCaskill is dead barring an absolute miracle, and at least one of the other romney state senators will also lose.

[Mr. Smith]

Ron John was in this kind of trouble too.

[krazen1211]

Ron John was in this kind of trouble too.

Yes, but he had the benefit in that the Democratic candidate for President was too lazy and stupid to campaign in the correct states.

McCaskill has no such outs!

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

[jamestroll]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

Omg.. Now i am going to panic and have a heart attack!!

[TheSaint250]

Very triggered that they didn't include Petersen

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Why don't we try Jay Nixon again? McCaskill is in critical condition, and could transition to DOA without much difficulty, we don't have much to lose that is not already tilting towards the lost side. It's time for drastic actions.

[The Other Castro]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

Omg.. Now i am going to panic and have a heart attack!!

Don't get too worked up just yet, she polled worse than this even against Akin at some points in the 2012 race.

[_]

Not willing to call it Blanching, but Lean R is obvious here.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

Omg.. Now i am going to panic and have a heart attack!!

Don't get too worked up just yet, she polled worse than this even against Akin at some points in the 2012 race.

That was mostly before the legitimate rape thing. Hence McCaskill needs a miracle to win this race. Hopefully she is our new Barbara Boxer.

[The Other Castro]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

Omg.. Now i am going to panic and have a heart attack!!

Don't get too worked up just yet, she polled worse than this even against Akin at some points in the 2012 race.

That was mostly before the legitimate rape thing. Hence McCaskill needs a miracle to win this race. Hopefully she is our new Barbara Boxer.

She hardly needs a miracle. People here are greatly overestimating how often incumbent Senators lose reelection during a midterm as an opposition party. She needs a good campaign and a good environment, which I can very easily see happening. Obviously, that doesn't mean she's going to win, but it's not like she's DOA.

[Pericles]

Still predicting McCaskill win win, though it will be close and she is one of the most likely Democrat incumbents to lose.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow. Worth noting their final presidential poll actually underestimated Trump (R+14 vs. R+19).

Omg.. Now i am going to panic and have a heart attack!!

Don't get too worked up just yet, she polled worse than this even against Akin at some points in the 2012 race.

That was mostly before the legitimate rape thing. Hence McCaskill needs a miracle to win this race. Hopefully she is our new Barbara Boxer.

She hardly needs a miracle. People here are greatly overestimating how often incumbent Senators lose reelection during a midterm as an opposition party. She needs a good campaign and a good environment, which I can very easily see happening. Obviously, that doesn't mean she's going to win, but it's not like she's DOA.

She's not, BUT, she is on thin ice, and if it breaks and she falls into the water below, than DOA.

[Young Conservative]

She is clearly too liberal for the state. Missouri is an Atlas blue state, but Senator McCaskill votes incredibly liberal and is vocal about it. Also, I think this is the RNC's top target and Conservative groups top target. Also, if polls like this hold up, Josh Hawley will likely jump in despite his recent election.