The next Virginia/Colorado
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Poll
Question: Which GOP-leaning state(s) will become tossups, and eventually lean DEM in the 2-4 presidential elections?
#1
Arizona		  
#2
Georgia		  
#3
Texas		  
#4
South Carolina		  
#5
Other (post in topic)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 78

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Author Topic: The next Virginia/Colorado  (Read 4566 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,072


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E: -2.84, S: 5.22

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« Reply #50 on: July 16, 2017, 06:00:26 PM »
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:53:27 PM
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 16, 2017, 05:35:02 PM
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:33:48 PM
I think the 2032 battleground map could look something like this...


Why are Illinois, Kansas, and Alaska the way they are?

Alaska--Will be swingy depending on third party candidacies.

Kansas--Will continue to trend slightly D in coming presidential elections and will become a fools' gold target.

Illinois--Will go the way of PA eventually, especially as the favorite son effect of Obama and Hillary moves further and further out of citizens' collective memory.
I believe the D trend in 2016 was due to Trump being the GOP nominee
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PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,235
Ireland, Republic of


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E: -7.61, S: -5.57

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« Reply #51 on: July 16, 2017, 08:51:14 PM »
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 16, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:53:27 PM
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 16, 2017, 05:35:02 PM
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:33:48 PM
I think the 2032 battleground map could look something like this...


Why are Illinois, Kansas, and Alaska the way they are?

Alaska--Will be swingy depending on third party candidacies.

Kansas--Will continue to trend slightly D in coming presidential elections and will become a fools' gold target.

Illinois--Will go the way of PA eventually, especially as the favorite son effect of Obama and Hillary moves further and further out of citizens' collective memory.
I believe the D trend in 2016 was due to Trump being the GOP nominee
Trump was a uniquely poor fit for Chicago's collar counties. He basically turned Illinois into a Virginia of sorts because while he probably maxed out the vote share in downstate, he tanked in Chicago's suburbs.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: July 16, 2017, 09:05:17 PM »
Quote from: PragmaticPopulist on July 16, 2017, 08:51:14 PM
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 16, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:53:27 PM
Quote from: TheSaint250 on July 16, 2017, 05:35:02 PM
Quote from: twenty42 on July 16, 2017, 05:33:48 PM
I think the 2032 battleground map could look something like this...


Why are Illinois, Kansas, and Alaska the way they are?

Alaska--Will be swingy depending on third party candidacies.

Kansas--Will continue to trend slightly D in coming presidential elections and will become a fools' gold target.

Illinois--Will go the way of PA eventually, especially as the favorite son effect of Obama and Hillary moves further and further out of citizens' collective memory.
I believe the D trend in 2016 was due to Trump being the GOP nominee
Trump was a uniquely poor fit for Chicago's collar counties. He basically turned Illinois into a Virginia of sorts because while he probably maxed out the vote share in downstate, he tanked in Chicago's suburbs.
Sorry I was writing about Kansas and forgot to mention that but you are right about Illinois
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dw93
DWL
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« Reply #53 on: July 17, 2017, 05:55:47 PM »


This is, IMHO, what will be the battleground map 10-20 years from now, so I'm going to say Wisconsin.
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