MD - Washington Post/UMD: Hogan 41 - Democrat Nominee 37
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 13, 2024, 08:53:42 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  MD - Washington Post/UMD: Hogan 41 - Democrat Nominee 37
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MD - Washington Post/UMD: Hogan 41 - Democrat Nominee 37  (Read 1840 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,579
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 22, 2017, 07:17:41 AM »

Larry Hogan 41% (-5)
Democratic Nominee 37% (+7)

Hogan's Approval:

65% Approve (-6)
17% Disapprove (-1)
18% No Opinion (+7%)

Source
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,590
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 22, 2017, 07:22:14 AM »

His approval rating is still ridiculously high. Plus, it's generic democrat.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,402
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2017, 07:57:17 AM »

His approval rating is still ridiculously high. Plus, it's generic democrat.

Generic doesn't irritate anyone, hence - polls higher..
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,579
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 22, 2017, 08:01:21 AM »

His approval rating is still ridiculously high. Plus, it's generic democrat.

Generic doesn't irritate anyone, hence - polls higher..

But it's Maryland, we voted out a popular Republican in 2006 and the state has only gotten more Democratic since.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,023
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 22, 2017, 08:04:59 AM »

His approval rating is still ridiculously high. Plus, it's generic democrat.

Generic doesn't irritate anyone, hence - polls higher..

But it's Maryland, we voted out a popular Republican in 2006 and the state has only gotten more Democratic since.

Ehrlich had a higher disapproval rating than 17% though and is probably to Hogan's right on the issues.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,579
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2017, 08:36:53 AM »

His approval rating is still ridiculously high. Plus, it's generic democrat.

Generic doesn't irritate anyone, hence - polls higher..

But it's Maryland, we voted out a popular Republican in 2006 and the state has only gotten more Democratic since.

Ehrlich had a higher disapproval rating than 17% though and is probably to Hogan's right on the issues.

Sure, but lets see a year from now. Trump's going to be an anchor around Hogan's neck.
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,157
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 22, 2017, 01:14:24 PM »

Not good for Hogan, all things considered
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 22, 2017, 10:31:49 PM »

Notice the negative trend. Proceed with caution, Hogan.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,401
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 25, 2017, 03:24:51 PM »

Ratings change Tilt D/Tossup. In a close election, Dems can pull it off.
Logged
InheritTheWind
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2017, 12:26:06 PM »

I still don't see Hogan losing just yet, but from living there I know for a fact that the MoCo/Howard/PG/Baltimore areas are all vehemently anti-Trump, and I would expect much higher turnout than 2014 there as people are itching to take their anger out on the Republican party. Trump will be an albatross around Hogan's neck.
Logged
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 27, 2017, 12:30:24 PM »

From my view on the ground, Dems should be favored if they nominate a strong candidate (John Delaney and Ken Ullman both jump to mind). Hogan's struggled with Trump in the White House, whereas he did a good job positioning himself as a common-sense executive positioned in-between the likes of Pres. Obama and the more radical Congressional Republicans. That doesn't work when you're in the same party as the POTUS, and your base generally supports him and wants you to as well.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,579
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 27, 2017, 02:13:02 PM »

I really don't know a Democrat that could really defeat Hogan in 2018. Hogan is safe for reelection and Democrats have a better chance in Texas than in Maryland this cycle.

Haha, no
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,327
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 27, 2017, 02:47:29 PM »

If Hogan's approval rating is that high in a year and a half, he'll most likely win, but a high approval rating for a Republican isn't always enough to save them in a deeply Democratic state. I'd still rate this race Toss-Up, or maybe Tilt R.
Logged
jamestroll
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,570


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 27, 2017, 05:13:11 PM »

Mr. Wulfric says he has never seen me in favor of a Republican. Here is one I would probably favor.

I know it's controversial but I tend to only make endorsements in the two states I am connected with.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2017, 07:48:21 PM »

Easy Day pickup.
Logged
sg0508
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,062
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2017, 01:08:44 PM »

Again, the GOP ceiling in MD is very low, maybe at 54% tops.  Add to that the anti-Trump factor and Hogan is going to struggle. 
Logged
Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2017, 02:08:55 PM »

Lean D. A Senate race occurring in 2018 helps the D candidate.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2017, 02:14:41 PM »

I'm still keeping this at Lean R, or Tilt R at worst, for the moment.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.23 seconds with 14 queries.