NV-SEN: Rosen in

[publicunofficial]

Tark says he'll probably run for CD3 again, but not ruling out Senate.

I encourage him in whatever race he chooses. We can all learn a lesson from Danny Tarkanian's tenacity.

[The Other Castro]

Rosen is officially running. She says Reid called her and asked her to consider a run. Her campaign manager will be Danny Kazin, the DCCC's 2016 Western Political Director.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/rosen-officially-announces-senate-bid-says-reid-encouraged-her-to-run

[JMT]

Rosen is officially running. She says Reid called her and asked her to consider a run. Her campaign manager will be Danny Kazin, the DCCC's 2016 Western Political Director.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/rosen-officially-announces-senate-bid-says-reid-encouraged-her-to-run

I hope Dina Titus stays out of the Senate race and instead runs for reelection. Avoiding a tough primary would be nice, and it would allow Rosen to focus on the general election. Rosen has my support. And while Titus is making noise about running, ultimately I think she will just run for reelection to the House considering it's a safe seat and it's hers as long as she wants it. A senate run would be risky for Titus, she very well could lose the primary or general election.

[Gass3268]

[The Other Castro]

If I were Titus, I'd stay out.

[Cactus Jack]

I'm pretty sure this race is buttoned up at this point. I'd be surprised if Titus goes for it now that it's clear Rosen has the backing of the Reid Machine.

[Kamala]

Now all that's left is for Amodei to endorse Rosen

[KingSweden]

Go Jacky!

Titus would be a disaster in Washoe.

[Gass3268]

DSCC jumps in too

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Endorsed, Titus best stay out of this. Tilt D, I'm thinking about 48-45 in favour of Rosen as of now, but this is anyone's game with just a teensy tiny advantage.

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

[Cactus Jack]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

If Reid is mobilizing the troops again behind the scenes, that seems pretty likely. Heller was already facing an uphill struggle, but going up against Harry Reid's machine in Nevada is like going up against Lyndon Johnson's machine in Texas.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

[Cactus Jack]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

It's honestly not an unreasonable assumption to make. Heller is going against a candidate anointed and backed by Harry Read after being all but completely ditched by Trump and his loyalists. He's making decent political moves, but the terrain in Nevada just keeps getting worse and worse for him.

[Gass3268]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

If Reid is mobilizing the troops again behind the scenes, that seems pretty likely. Heller was already facing an uphill struggle, but going up against Harry Reid's machine in Nevada is like going up against Lyndon Johnson's machine in Texas.

Before anyone brings up 2014, the Reid machine did not even try that year.

[JMT]

http://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/jacky-rosen1

Emily's list also endorses Jacky Rosen. This is significant considering her major potential primary opponent, Dina Titus, is also a pro-choice woman. The Democratic Party is really lining up behind Rosen.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Rosen definitely starts off favored, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.  I don't see Titus running at this point though, so that's one less thing to worry about (hopefully).  Another interesting question is who the Democrats will run in NV-3.  I believe Aaron Ford lives there, but IIRC he's believed to have his sights set on NV AG (since Lexalt is almost certainly running for Governor).  I'm sure the Reid machine will find someone (just like they found Rosen ), but I'm not sure who.  Hopefully the Republicans nominate either that crazy Trumpist golfer or Tarkanian again (apparently both are considering running and both would lose the GE).

[windjammer]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Rosen definitely starts off favored, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.  I don't see Titus running at this point though, so that's one less thing to worry about (hopefully).  Another interesting question is who the Democrats will run in NV-3.  I believe Aaron Ford lives there, but IIRC he's believed to have his sights set on NV AG (since Lexalt is almost certainly running for Governor).  I'm sure the Reid machine will find someone (just like they found Rosen ), but I'm not sure who.  Hopefully the Republicans nominate either that crazy Trumpist golfer or Tarkanian again (apparently both are considering running and both would lose the GE).

I'm not particularly worried about this open seat, Trump only carried it by 1 point and considering his abysmal approval ratings.

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

[Holmes]

tfw you're watching the Reid machine turn into the Rosen machine

[BuckeyeNut]

http://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/jacky-rosen1

Emily's list also endorses Jacky Rosen. This is significant considering her major potential primary opponent, Dina Titus, is also a pro-choice woman. The Democratic Party is really lining up behind Rosen.

Titus is 67 and Rosen is 59. Not much of an age difference, but Rosen should be able to better generate some seniority.

[_]

If he votes for the AHCA its Lean D, if he votes against it stays tossup.

Anyone saying he's DOA is acting like this is New Mexico and thinks Heller has acted like Cory G.

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

Well, Hillary won Nevada and Masto captured a Senate seat too. In any case, perhaps "DOA" may be too presumptive, however I still believe it is a fair conclusion from the available data.

Reid's loss can be attributed to several factors:
1. 2010 was a wave year.
2. Titus lost to Gibbons in '06 by 4 points.
3. Rory Reid isn't terribly charismatic nor was he the incumbent, unlike his daddy.

Look, Heller is in a very tough spot and I think it's fair to say there is a very high probability he will lose.


Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

[Devout Centrist]

Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

Nah, pretty sure you said that Donnelly is the only really vulnerable Democratic Senator and that MO is Lean D.

Also, the "Reid machine" couldn't win it for Berkley in 2012 either. Doesn't mean Heller will win, but he's not DOA.

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.