2020: Former VP Biden vs. President Pence (2019 Trump Impeachment)

[RC (a la Frémont)]

Here's the scenerio:

2018: Democrats regain control of the House, lose seats in the Senate.

2019: President Trump is found guilty of Obstruction of Justice and is the first president to leave office via impeachment. VP Mike Pence resumes what's left of the Donald Trump presidency and soon after, launches his 2020 campaign.

2020: Former VP Biden wins his nomination, as the party believes the closest peer in the Obama administration can bring the Democratic Party back together, While the Republican Party has to deal with a brokered convention between candidates such as John Kasich and Marco Rubio, among others. President Pence ultimately wins the nomination.

There's the timeline. Who would win? please discuss, use maps if needed.

[Edgeofnight]

I can't use maps because I don't have enough posts to post links, but I would give the advantage to Biden. Depending on how badly the impeachment is, Biden would likely win WI, MI, PA, and ME-02, as well as all the Clinton states. Biden would be more competitive in Ohio, but would still fall short.

[Kingpoleon]

What 20+ GOP Senators vote for impeachment?

Flake, Paul, Collins, Portman, Murkowski, McCain, Graham, 1 or 2 Utah, Sasse, Fischer, Sullivan, Heller, and Gardner only gets them to fourteen at most.

[Kamala]

What 20+ GOP Senators vote for impeachment?

Flake, Paul, Collins, Portman, Murkowski, McCain, Graham, 1 or 2 Utah, Sasse, Fischer, Sullivan, Heller, and Gardner only gets them to fourteen at most.

Isakson, maybe Tillis if he thinks he's especially endangered, Rubio?, Hoeven, Burr, Moore Capito.

[Pericles]

What 20+ GOP Senators vote for impeachment?

Flake, Paul, Collins, Portman, Murkowski, McCain, Graham, 1 or 2 Utah, Sasse, Fischer, Sullivan, Heller, and Gardner only gets them to fourteen at most.

Isakson, maybe Tillis if he thinks he's especially endangered, Rubio?, Hoeven, Burr, Moore Capito.

Cruz could backstab Trump due to his feud with him. Kennedy and Cassidy maybe. Paul maybe could  go against him .

[Kingpoleon]

What 20+ GOP Senators vote for impeachment?

Flake, Paul, Collins, Portman, Murkowski, McCain, Graham, 1 or 2 Utah, Sasse, Fischer, Sullivan, Heller, and Gardner only gets them to fourteen at most.

Isakson, maybe Tillis if he thinks he's especially endangered, Rubio?, Hoeven, Burr, Moore Capito.

Cruz could backstab Trump due to his feud with him. Kennedy and Cassidy maybe. Paul maybe could  go against him .

I already listed Paul. Corker, Alexander, Capito, Burr, Rubio, Kennedy, Cassidy, and Boozman are all quite a bit less likely, but of those I think I listed them from least to most likely to vote to impeach Trump.

[dw93]

Biden win (Best case Scenario):

Obama's 2012 map minus Iowa. Some may write Ohio off, but I think it can be won if the recession that hits sometime in the next three years either happens in mid-late 2019 or 2020 or is a deep one.

A Pence Win (Best Case Scenario):

Wisconsin is as close as Michigan was in 2016 if not closer. I don't see Pence winning Pennsylvania or Michigan, so Nevada (or Colorado or New Hampshire) would be the state that puts Pence over the top.

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

I think it would be a Biden landslide. With the election being closer to Trump's impeachment than Nixon's was to 1976, and the GOP divided even more than Ford's party was, Pence wouldn't have a chance against Biden

Former VP Joe Biden (DE)
President Mike Pence (IN)

[Agonized-Statism]

Good prediction, except for Trump being convicted after the impeachment and the brokered convention.

[bagelman]

Pence is President during the COVID-19 pandemic. Trumpists blame him as a pawn of the deep state. They beg for Trump to return out of the ether but Trump's gone. Others blame him for being partisan, anti-science, fiscally conservative during a suddenly economic drop, and really weird. His SCOTUS nominee is vetted for being anti SSM, an issue everyone's moved on from and is viewed as pointless bigoted.

R turnout craters and we get the 413 map.