|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 03, 2020, 09:58:59 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: Coolface's deceased great-granduncle, Apocrypha)
  2016: Mitt Romney vs. Hillary Clinton (Romney decides to run in '16)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: 2016: Mitt Romney vs. Hillary Clinton (Romney decides to run in '16)  (Read 1847 times)
bronz4141
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 02, 2017, 10:44:42 am »

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney decides to run for president for a third time in Jan. 2015, and wins the GOP nomination against populists Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton wins the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination against Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb. Who wins?

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/mitt-romney-considers-2016-presidential-campaign-114132
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2017, 10:54:22 am »

Same map as 2012.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,929
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2017, 11:21:10 am »


322: Mitt Romney/Condoleeza Rice - 50.2%
216: Hillary Clinton/James Stavridis - 45.0%
Others - 4.8%
Logged
THE BuckeyeNut
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,264


Political Matrix
E: -7.48, S: -7.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2017, 11:25:38 am »

Logged
Old School Republican
Computer89
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,467


Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -0.10

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2017, 12:37:36 am »

Romney wins handily




Romney/Martinez 337
Hillary/Kaine 201
Logged
Representative ReaganClinton
ReaganClinton20XX
Atlas Politician
Jr. Member
*****
Posts: 1,454
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: -4.70

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2017, 11:34:32 am »
« Edited: June 11, 2017, 11:37:20 am by ReaganClinton20XX »


Mitt Romney/Jeb Bush - 270 EVs
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 268 EVs

Romney wins a close match, Nevada is the closest state. PV is Kennedy/Nixon levels close, but Clinton wins it.
Logged
The Chill Moderate Republican
The Political Sandwich
Rookie
**
Posts: 85
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2017, 12:09:12 pm »

Almost the exact same map as of 2012
Logged
Cаквояжник
CELTICEMPIRE
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,807
Botswana


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2017, 12:57:06 pm »

Come on, Romney had nowhere near the baggage of Trump, of course he would win.
Logged
Not_A_Man
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,092
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 16, 2017, 04:10:48 pm »

Come on, Romney had nowhere near the baggage of Trump, of course he would win.

HE'S GOING TO LOSE BY AN EVEN LARGER MARGIN, HE'LL LOSE BIGLY, BELIEVE ME!
Logged
NHI
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,821



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2017, 11:00:01 pm »

This plus PA

Mitt Romney/Jeb Bush - 270 EVs
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 268 EVs

Romney wins a close match, Nevada is the closest state. PV is Kennedy/Nixon levels close, but Clinton wins it.

Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,654
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 21, 2017, 09:21:58 pm »



Clinton/Kaine 298
Romney/Rubio 240

Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio and New Hampshire are the closest states.
Logged
The Govanah Jake
Jake Jewvinivisk
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,254


Political Matrix
E: -2.39, S: -5.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2017, 10:57:46 am »

A slight Romney loss if he won the nomination
Logged
#Solid4096
Solid4096
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,336


Political Matrix
E: -9.25, S: -8.88

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2017, 11:23:23 am »



Clinton: 201
Romney: 337
Logged
Lechasseur
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,505
France


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2017, 11:50:34 am »


This
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,150
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2017, 02:01:58 pm »


Mitt Romney/Jeb Bush - 270 EVs
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 268 EVs

Romney wins a close match, Nevada is the closest state. PV is Kennedy/Nixon levels close, but Clinton wins it.


This looks about right to me. Very close.
Logged
HomestarSB9
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 445
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2017, 07:41:01 pm »



Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Fmr. Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) - 302 EVs
Fmr. Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Fmr. Gov. Bill Richardson (D-NM) - 236 EVs

Romney wins Utah by over 80% of the vote, McMullin wins in second place with 13%.
Logged
brucejoel99
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2017, 07:43:35 pm »



Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Fmr. Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) - 302 EVs
Fmr. Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Fmr. Gov. Bill Richardson (D-NM) - 236 EVs

Romney wins Utah by over 80% of the vote, McMullin wins in second place with 13%.

McMullin wouldn't run against Mitt
Logged
L.D. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,784
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2017, 09:32:16 pm »



Clinton/Kaine

Romney/Ryan

Couldn't ask for an easier opponent, and Hillary would've run a very different campaign anyway.
Logged
ThatConservativeGuy
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,235
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2017, 09:40:43 pm »


Romney/Rubio - 50.7% - 321 EVs
Clinton/Booker - 47.4% - 217 Evs

Romney doesn't do as well as Trump in rust-belt states but still wins many of them due to Clinton's unpopularity. Romney also far out-performs Trump with moderate suburban Republicans and manages to eek out victories in VA, CO, and NV.
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,752


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 02, 2017, 01:10:32 pm »

Romney underperforms Trump in the EV (EV-wise Trump really was the most electable Republican) but overperforms him in the PV (he probably wins the PV). I think he narrowly beats Clinton, but it could go either way. Romney isn't as toxic as Trump, but he also wouldn't have demonized Hillary as effectively as Trump did.
Logged
FDB
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,421
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2017, 04:43:29 am »

deleted
Logged
Canis
canis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,511


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -7.13

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2017, 08:54:29 am »


Former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney/ Governor of Ohio John Kasich 277 
Secretary Hillary Rodham Clinton/ Senator Tim  Kaine 261
Nevada could go either way imo
Logged
bagelman
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -2.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 09, 2017, 06:45:51 pm »



308-230 Romney
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines