I think people are too confident Northam will lose now. Definitely pointing toward another 2013/14 style margin, but the lean of the state carried a worse candidate last year.
Clinton was doing far better in the late polls though. Last 5 polls for President give you Clinton +5.0 (Average), versus Northam +0.7.
Clinton's average also wasn't littered by garbage like The Trolling Company.
The last Quinn poll for Clinton was +12. The last WashPo poll was was Clinton +6. The last Chris Newport poll was Clinton +6. Northam is right near all these polls.
The only major difference I see is Roanoke - was Clinton +7, tie for Northam.
Suffolk didn't even poll Virginia in 2016.