France 2017: Results Thread

[Mike88]

The site of the Interior Ministry doesn't have any results yet.

http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2017/

[Mike88]

Le Pen speaking.

[Mike88]

Vote by age:


From here: https://twitter.com/Yascha_Mounk/status/856228943464210433

[Mike88]

Safe to say that Le Pen underperformed tonight?

I don't think so. The latest polls showed her at around 22%, the result she achieved tonight. The polls were fantastically accurate. A big applause for them!

[Mike88]

Important question: Do you guys think the primary system to select the candidates will be scrapped in the next election?

The 2 candidates chosen by primaries, LR and PS, were soundly defeated.

[Mike88]

Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but I had to get off the forum ten pages in. Is there any chance that Le Pen comes out on top in this first round? From what I can see, she is currently 0.4% behind with ten departments remaining (five of them around Paris).

Nope. At the moment, and judging from the Interior minister website, Le Pen has 22.1% and Macron 23.5%, and Paris and it's surroundings have not been added to the tally yet.

[Mike88]

What are the odds of Melenchon overtaking Fillon?

Small, i believe. With almost 96% in, Melenchon is at 19.5% and Fillon at 20.0%. It could be reason thin the difference between them, but i think Fillon will end ahead of Melenchon.

[Mike88]

96.57% in:

23.86% Macron
21.47% Le Pen
19.97% Fillon
19.56% Melenchon

From here: https://twitter.com/GeraldineAmiel/status/856290795560763392

[Mike88]

97.01% in:

23.87% Macron
21.43% Le Pen
19.94% Fillon
19.60% Melenchon

From here: https://twitter.com/GeraldineAmiel/status/856298471720198144

[Mike88]

100% counted:

24.01% Macron
21.30% Le Pen
20.01% Fillon
19.58% Mélenchon
  6.36% Hamon
  3.56% NDA
  1.21% Lassalle
  1.09% Poutou
  0.92% Asselineau
  0.64% Arthaud
  0.18% Cheminade

[Mike88]

Okay, here's a map of the overseas results:



Macron
Le Pen
Fillon
Melenchon
Hamon/Fillon tie

Some interesting results -
- Le Pen won precisely one country's overseas vote - Djibouti.
- Fillon cleaned it up in Syria, which he won with over 70% of the vote.
- Libya was an exact tie between Fillon and Hamon - 3 votes each!

The light blue is for Fillon, right? If so, Fillon won Portugal.

Where did you find the results? I've search and search and i can't find the overseas vote by country.

[Mike88]

Yes, Fillon narrowly won Portugal with 35.86% of the vote. Here's the source I used to make the map: https://ca.ambafrance.org/Election-presidentielle-Resultats-du-premier-tour-pour-les-Francais-de-l

Fantastic!! Thank you!!

So, Portugal's results are:

35.86% Fillon
33.61% Macron
12.35% Mélenchon
  7.85% Le Pen
  6.49% Hamon
  1.62% NDA
  0.75% Asselineau
  0.70% Poutou
  0.37% Lassalle
  0.28% Arthaud
  0.12% Cheminade

Very interesting that Portugal is the only western European country, apart from Andorra, to vote for Fillon. In 2012 we also voted, in both rounds, for Sarkozy. The French community in Portugal seems to be very conservative. The good fiscal conditions for pensioners from other EU countries have resulted in many French elders residing in Portugal. Maybe this influences the result.

[Mike88]

So who does everyone think is winning so far?

Macron, by a long shot. But the debate is very weak... Unfortunately you cannot have a real discussion of policies with people like Le Pen.

[Mike88]

Finally, it's over. Le Pen was really bananas... God!!

Will there be polls on who won?

[Mike88]

Le Pen was received with insults and hit with eggs in Dol-de-Bretagne.

Here's the video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5xcZQ7QUuGs

[Mike88]

The Swiss report Macron at 78% Martinique, 75% Guadeloupe, 65% Guiana.

Guadeloupe:

75.1% Macron
24.9% Le Pen

Martinique:

77.5% Macron
22.5% Le Pen

Guyana:

65.0% Macron
35.0% Le Pen

Saint Barthelemy:

58.4% Macron
41.6% Le Pen

Saint Martin:

73.8% Macron
26.2% Le Pen

[Mike88]

2nd round vote by 1st round voters:

[Mike88]

Harry Enten saying this is the largest landside in eu history.

I think it was 2002.

[Mike88]

More election data:

Vote by age and sex

[Mike88]

Knives are already out in the FN ranks. Panzerdaddy says Phillipot should make himself discrete, and that it will be the FN congress to decide how to move onwards from here. Phillipot responds by reminding his audience of Panzerdaddy's 2002 second round score.

[Mike88]

Results from Portugal:

3,484 85.7% Macron
   582 14.3% Le Pen

   226   5.3% Blank/ Invalid

4,292 32.7% Turnout