France 2017: Results Thread

[Sorenroy]

Politico also has a neat map for when the results come up.

http://www.politico.eu/article/france-election-2017-results-live-winner-president-macron-le-pen-fillon-melenchon/

It's not as detailed, but if you know the name, you can search the results for probably every commune, at least for the second round in 2012 (I even tried looking up the results for some islands in French Polynesia and had them come up)>

I was looking at that one but found the inability to zoom to annoying. The one suggested by TheShadowyAbyss allows you to click on the... provinces?... to zoom in.

https://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/resultats/

[Hydera]

Is Fillon or Macron more conservative.? I always forget.

Fillon is more conservative on economic and much much more conservative on social issues.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Abstention rate of 23% by Ipsos

[Classic Conservative]

Abstention rate of 23% by Ipsos

So 77% turnout?

[ApatheticAustrian]

most important:

fillon is corrupt as hell and russophile and less euro-phile.

[parochial boy]

Tribune de Genève are also leaking some alleged scores. Definitely interesting

[DavidB.]

Is there any live stream showing results of larger municipalities as they come in?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if the top two were Melenchon and Le Pen.

[PresidentSamTilden]

Who do you guys think will win a higher percentage of the youth? Melenchon or Le Pen?

Probably Le Pen, I've heard she polls very well with young voters

[Devout Centrist]

Is there any live stream showing results of larger municipalities as they come in?

I'm sure all major networks will have a running feed with results by departments and municipalities. I'm watching France 24's English livestream, link is here: http://www.france24.com/en/livefeed

[Classic Conservative]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if the top two were Melenchon and Le Pen.

The end of the EU, as we know it.

[Hnv1]

Last minute hunch that Fillon was underpolled while Macron was overpolled

[TheSaint250]

Last minute hunch that Fillon was underpolled while Macron was overpolled

I used to not think the former was true, but on the prediction thread, I heard some pretty compelling arguments for Fillon outperforming.

[The Other Castro]

Taniel @Taniel
France 2 anchors are explicitly hinting they'll be able to give outcome of who'll be in the Top 2 by 8pm sharp (in 26 minutes). Watch below.

[ApatheticAustrian]

fillon polled good nearly all the time, never really sunk.

[TheSaint250]

Taniel @Taniel
France 2 anchors are explicitly hinting they'll be able to give outcome of who'll be in the Top 2 by 8pm sharp (in 26 minutes). Watch below.

Do you have the link?

[MAINEiac4434]

Tribune de Genève are also leaking some alleged scores. Definitely interesting

Thanks for this, TDG's numbers are encouraging.

[Pandaguineapig]

I have a gut feeling that Le Pen falls below 20%

[mvd10]

I wonder whether those leaked exit polls are true or just sh**tty clickbait. 

[Xing]

*Bold* prediction: The results are going to surprise us for a reason not yet known.

[Kantakouzenos]

Politico also has a neat map for when the results come up.

http://www.politico.eu/article/france-election-2017-results-live-winner-president-macron-le-pen-fillon-melenchon/

It's not as detailed, but if you know the name, you can search the results for probably every commune, at least for the second round in 2012 (I even tried looking up the results for some islands in French Polynesia and had them come up)>

I was looking at that one but found the inability to zoom to annoying. The one suggested by TheShadowyAbyss allows you to click on the... provinces?... to zoom in.

https://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/resultats/

Yeah, that one's better than the politico one I think.  The Politico map does have results for french overseas collectivities which I couldn't find in the other map, but again you still have to search them by their french name which is a drag.

[Holmes]

*Bold* prediction: The results are going to surprise us for a reason not yet known.

Bold prediction: polls were right.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I wonder whether those leaked exit polls are true or just sh**tty clickbait. 

Most likely clickbait. The French pollsters said there wouldn't be exit polls.

[Classic Conservative]

If Melenchon loses tonight, will a lot of his younger voters stay home?

[TheSaint250]

*Bold* prediction: The results are going to surprise us for a reason not yet known.

I'm convinced the surprise will be one of the following (ordered by likelihood, in my opinion):

1. Fillon extremely overperforms
2. Macron misses the runoff
3. Le Pen misses the runoff

Chances are number 1 will cause one of the other two to happen.