France 2017: Results Thread
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  France 2017: Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2017: Results Thread  (Read 139959 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #25 on: April 23, 2017, 11:01:15 AM »

17:00 turnout changes ...

LE PEN's 10 best departments from 2012:

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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: April 23, 2017, 11:03:39 AM »

So it seems like the North is having better turnout than the South?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #27 on: April 23, 2017, 11:15:42 AM »

17:00 turnout changes ...

LE PEN's 10 best departments from 2012:



...


MELENCHON's 10 best departments from 2012:

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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #28 on: April 23, 2017, 11:21:33 AM »

Is that compared with the final turnout of 2012 or turnout around 17:00?
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OkThen
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« Reply #29 on: April 23, 2017, 11:23:24 AM »

Are there any sites that will show results/maps? I can't seem to find any.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #30 on: April 23, 2017, 11:29:00 AM »

Is that compared with the final turnout of 2012 or turnout around 17:00?

17:00 for both 2012 and 2017.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #31 on: April 23, 2017, 11:29:38 AM »

17:00 turnout changes ...

LE PEN's 10 best departments from 2012:



...


MELENCHON's 10 best departments from 2012:



...


SARKOZY's 10 best departments from 2012:

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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #32 on: April 23, 2017, 11:32:03 AM »

If those turnout figures are correct, le pen will not be in runoff
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #33 on: April 23, 2017, 11:35:21 AM »

Results website with maps if anyone is interested

https://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/resultats/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #34 on: April 23, 2017, 11:40:40 AM »

17:00 turnout changes ...

LE PEN's 10 best departments from 2012:



...


MELENCHON's 10 best departments from 2012:



...


SARKOZY's 10 best departments from 2012:



...

HOLLANDE's 10 best departments from 2012:

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Beezer
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« Reply #35 on: April 23, 2017, 11:45:12 AM »

So everybody's losing?
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #36 on: April 23, 2017, 11:45:34 AM »

So what areas are up? Swing areas?
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Bumaye
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« Reply #37 on: April 23, 2017, 11:45:53 AM »

Are there any sites that will show results/maps? I can't seem to find any.
 
  
I simply watch France 24 English: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Ydto3Iyzic  
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Kantakouzenos
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« Reply #38 on: April 23, 2017, 11:45:59 AM »

After the results come in, would anyone be able to make a map of the results by town like wikipedia has?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #39 on: April 23, 2017, 11:48:44 AM »

It doesn't really say anything meaningful about the results, but I'm glad turnout seems to be holding up, as a matter of principle.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #40 on: April 23, 2017, 11:48:50 AM »

Also interesting:

In areas where Le Pen did get the highest number of absolute votes, not percentages, (Nord, Bouches-du-Rhône, Pas-de-Calais) turnout is largely stable and actually increased in PdC.

In areas where Hollande got the most votes (Nord, Paris and Gironde), it's stable in Nord, a solid increase in Paris and a huge drop in Gironde.

Melenchon's 3 top-vote areas were Nord, Bouches-du-Rhône and Paris (stable, stable, gain).

Sarkozy's best areas in absolute votes: the same as for Melenchon.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #41 on: April 23, 2017, 11:52:33 AM »


Thanks, pretty much exactly what I was looking for.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #42 on: April 23, 2017, 11:54:43 AM »


Don't know really, you cannot read a lot into these numbers.

But I guess it's very good news for both Melenchon and Macron that turnout isn't dropping off significantly in former Hollande-strongholds as well as Melenchon's 2012 strongholds.

Because if the former Hollande and Melenchon-voters are turning out there, they will go en-masse to Melenchon and Macron this time. But Le Pen and Fillon also seem to hold up well ... Tongue
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #43 on: April 23, 2017, 12:01:39 PM »

Macron is surging in PredictIt's most votes in first round market:

Macron - 65% (+26)
Le Pen - 35% (-25)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #44 on: April 23, 2017, 12:04:39 PM »

Charente-Maritime seems to be the perfect "show-me" departement (it voted within 1% of every major candidate in 2012):

Turnout: 70.19% (70.76% in 2012)
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Zinneke
JosepBroz
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« Reply #45 on: April 23, 2017, 12:05:44 PM »

Macron is surging in PredictIt's most votes in first round market:

Macron - 65% (+26)
Le Pen - 35% (-25)

Fillon's odds dropped considerably in the bet market.
RTBf have called an interesting result for those who want to see it. I think the behaviour of the Belgian journo's is to get clickbait so take with a large pinch of salt.
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Kantakouzenos
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« Reply #46 on: April 23, 2017, 12:10:46 PM »

Politico also has a neat map for when the results come up.

http://www.politico.eu/article/france-election-2017-results-live-winner-president-macron-le-pen-fillon-melenchon/

It's not as detailed, but if you know the name, you can search the results for probably every commune, at least for the second round in 2012 (I even tried looking up the results for some islands in French Polynesia and had them come up)>
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #47 on: April 23, 2017, 12:17:46 PM »

Is Fillon or Macron more conservative.? I always forget.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #48 on: April 23, 2017, 12:18:03 PM »

Is Fillon or Macron more conservative.? I always forget.
Fillon, by far. Especially on social issues.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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France


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« Reply #49 on: April 23, 2017, 12:18:34 PM »

Is Fillon or Macron more conservative.? I always forget.
Fillon, particularly on social issues.
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