France 2017: Results Thread
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  France 2017: Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2017: Results Thread  (Read 139978 times)
jeron
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« Reply #1525 on: May 07, 2017, 03:49:04 PM »

So it looks like Le Pen is going to win 3 departements, Aisne, Ardennes, and Var.

4 (Pas-de-Calais)

Macron has won Ardennes with 50.7%
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Bumaye
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« Reply #1526 on: May 07, 2017, 03:49:27 PM »

In all of the Bretagne Le Pen won a total of 4 communes. Over 50 point lead for beautiful flawless Emmanuel in that region.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1527 on: May 07, 2017, 03:50:21 PM »


Next Sunday!  An amazingly short transition compared to the US.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1528 on: May 07, 2017, 03:50:31 PM »

question....how does this work?

does EM now need to find willing candidates before the election or is "party voting" good enough?
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Kamala
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« Reply #1529 on: May 07, 2017, 03:51:23 PM »

Var has 3 outstanding communes left, 50.2 Le Pen-49.8 Macron
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Kamala
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« Reply #1530 on: May 07, 2017, 03:53:13 PM »

Pas-de-Calais and Aisne called for Le Pen.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1531 on: May 07, 2017, 03:56:18 PM »

Var has 3 outstanding communes left, 50.2 Le Pen-49.8 Macron

They also appear to be in a favorable area for Macron.
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Hydera
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« Reply #1532 on: May 07, 2017, 03:58:17 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/05/07/world/europe/france-election-results-maps.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=g-candidate&module=b-lede-package-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

Something surprises me and that's the under performance in the Southern coast of france compared to the North. What explains it considering other than the North, the FN is usually strong in the southern coast.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1533 on: May 07, 2017, 04:01:49 PM »

Looks like all the votes outstanding are Paris and areas around Paris.  I guess how badly Le Pen does in them will determine if she crosses 35% or not.  This is surprising for me.  I thought that threshold would be something like 40%.
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Bumaye
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« Reply #1534 on: May 07, 2017, 04:02:21 PM »

Var has 3 outstanding communes left, 50.2 Le Pen-49.8 Macron
 
  
No way that Macron is losing Toulon, he was only 8% behind her there in the first round. The on ther two are  large towns which should at least go even. Macron will take home Var.
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Kamala
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« Reply #1535 on: May 07, 2017, 04:04:33 PM »

Var has 3 outstanding communes left, 50.2 Le Pen-49.8 Macron
 
  
No way that Macron is losing Toulon, he was only 8% behind her there in the first round. The on ther two are  large towns which should at least go even. Macron will take home Var.

Just 2 communes are left - 50.1-49.9 Marine/Eman
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jeron
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« Reply #1536 on: May 07, 2017, 04:04:48 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2017, 04:08:29 PM by jeron »

Looks like all the votes outstanding are Paris and areas around Paris.  I guess how badly Le Pen does in them will determine if she crosses 35% or not.  This is surprising for me.  I thought that threshold would be something like 40%.

And Lyon and Bordeaux. Le Figaro has a final prediction on its site of 65.7-34.3. She won't make 35% with Lyon, Bordeaux and most of Paris not in yet.
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IceAgeComing
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« Reply #1537 on: May 07, 2017, 04:05:15 PM »

In all of the Bretagne Le Pen won a total of 4 communes. Over 50 point lead for beautiful flawless Emmanuel in that region.

five if you include loire-atlantique; which you should really
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1538 on: May 07, 2017, 04:07:47 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/05/07/world/europe/france-election-results-maps.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=g-candidate&module=b-lede-package-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

Something surprises me and that's the under performance in the Southern coast of france compared to the North. What explains it considering other than the North, the FN is usually strong in the southern coast.
Has to do with FN's transformation from an "all right-wing, all the time" party (including on economic issues) to a "Trump-like" party with protectionist, anti-globalist, quasi-leftist economic views ("the new winning formula" for many radical right-wing parties in Western Europe). This has made them more popular in the industrial and post-industrial north but is less appealing to those who are better off.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1539 on: May 07, 2017, 04:09:10 PM »

Var will probably go Macron once Toulon is included.
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Zinneke
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« Reply #1540 on: May 07, 2017, 04:14:13 PM »

Var will probably go Macron once Toulon is included.

Not so sure, Toulon has a historically strong FN.

Orange should be a good indication as to whether Le Pen lost the Southern vote. Bompard endorsed Fillon IIRC. Le Pen has won marginally there and I really think her "poor" performance in the South is overstated. She probably has similar shares to what she had in the regionals.
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jeron
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« Reply #1541 on: May 07, 2017, 04:16:14 PM »

Var will probably go Macron once Toulon is included.

Not so sure, Toulon has a historically strong FN.

Orange should be a good indication as to whether Le Pen lost the Southern vote. Bompard endorsed Fillon IIRC. Le Pen has won marginally there and I really think her "poor" performance in the South is overstated. She probably has similar shares to what she had in the regionals.

Macron is apparently in the lead with 56% in Toulon.
https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/politique/emmanuel-macron-en-tete-marseille-selon-des-resultats-partiels-et-toulon-1494191483
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1542 on: May 07, 2017, 04:24:24 PM »

Socialists only getting 9% in the  Legislative polls? dang
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Zinneke
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« Reply #1543 on: May 07, 2017, 04:40:18 PM »

Var will probably go Macron once Toulon is included.

Not so sure, Toulon has a historically strong FN.

Orange should be a good indication as to whether Le Pen lost the Southern vote. Bompard endorsed Fillon IIRC. Le Pen has won marginally there and I really think her "poor" performance in the South is overstated. She probably has similar shares to what she had in the regionals.

Macron is apparently in the lead with 56% in Toulon.
https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/politique/emmanuel-macron-en-tete-marseille-selon-des-resultats-partiels-et-toulon-1494191483


Yup, and Macron wins Béziers too, where Ménard is currently sitting. Impressive.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1544 on: May 07, 2017, 04:41:58 PM »

Macron flipped Var
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
kataak
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« Reply #1545 on: May 07, 2017, 04:43:38 PM »




Well, at least that is good info.
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Matty
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« Reply #1546 on: May 07, 2017, 04:48:23 PM »

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Zinneke
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« Reply #1547 on: May 07, 2017, 04:49:03 PM »


piss off
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Helsinkian
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« Reply #1548 on: May 07, 2017, 04:52:05 PM »


But Obama's interference in the French election through his endorsement of Macron was OK?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1549 on: May 07, 2017, 04:55:11 PM »

I find the OMG Russia narrative annoying, but clandestine interference is obviously much worse than what Obama did.
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