Croatian parliamentary elections - September 11th 2016
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  Croatian parliamentary elections - September 11th 2016
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PetrSokol
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« on: July 24, 2016, 05:25:22 PM »

The Croatian President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović called the preliminary elections for the Sabor on September 11th 2016.
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God-Empress Stacey I of House Abrams
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 02:14:28 AM »

I assume the left will win, considering the utter mess in the right?
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2016, 02:25:35 AM »

The centre-right HDZ changed the leader. The new chairman of the HDZ is Andrej Plenković, MEP. It could change the situation but the last opinion poll before the leadership change in the HDZ was: The left-wing coalition - 36 %, the right-wing coalition 29 %, the centrist party Most 9 %, the radical left Živi zid 5 %.
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2016, 05:26:46 AM »
« Edited: July 26, 2016, 05:41:40 AM by PetrSokol »

Who will run:

1. The People´s Coalition - it is the continuation of the coalition "Craoatia is growing".
Members:
A. Social Democratic Party (SDP)  of the former PM  Zoran Milanović,
B. Croatian People´s Party - Liberal Democrats (HNS-LD) - centre-left social liberals
C. Croatian Peasant Party (HSS) - agrarians who run last time in the Patriotic coalition led by HDZ. After the change of their leadership decided to change the sidec a tun for the left-wing coalition
D. Croatian Party of Pensioners (HSU) - party of seniors

2. Croation Democratic Union (HDZ) - centre-right winner of last elections, it will run with some amaller allies but the negotations are running under the new chairman of the party Plenković. Possible Partners: Croatian Conservatives of Ruža Tomašić, MEP, party Croatin Zora of Milan Kujundžić, Croatian Social Liberal Party (HSLS) of Darinko Kosor and party Hrid of former HDZ member and MP for Most party Drago Prgomet. HDZ prefers only local coalitions in the electoral unit and not general coalition in the whole country. It could couse the end of cooperation with the Croatian Party of Rights - Ante Straćević (HSP AS) and with the Bloc of Pensioners Together (BUZ) of Milivoj Špike.  


3. The Bridge (Most) - independents of the centre, mainly independent mayors, coalition member in the last government with HDZ.


4. Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS) - centre-left regional party from Istria, in the coalition with the regional List for Rijega and the regional Aliance of Primorje and Goranski Kotar


5. Coalition of the ORaH party - focused on green politics - and the Party of Labour - labourists (socialists, more left than SDP)


6. The Human Wall (Živi zid) - radical left similar to Podemos in Spain

7. Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranje (HDSSB) - regional, radical right party

8. MB 365 - party of the Zagreb local politician Milan Bandić (former SDP Member, but big enemy of this party now)

Other negotiaons are running.
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2016, 05:54:18 AM »

Today Opinion Poll:

Crobarometar 1. - 18. 7, 974 respondents, for Dnevnik Nove TV made by Ipsos

SDP 29,2 %
HDZ 28,3 %
MOST 11,4 %
Živi zid 6,8 %
Bandić Milan 365 4,1 %
HSS 2,7 %
HDSSB 1,7 %
IDS 1,7 %
Hrvatska narodna stranka 1,3 %
HSU 1,0 %
HSP Ante Starčević 0,9 %
Party Naprijed Hrvatska of former President Ivo Josipović 0,9 %
party Pametno 0,8 %
Reformists of Radimi Čačić 0,7%
ORaH 0,6 %
Independent List of Stipe Petrine (mayor of Primošten) 0,5 %
BUZ 0,3 %
Croatian labourists 0,2 %
HSLS podržava 0,1 %
Hrvatska zora 0,1 %
HRID of Drago Prgomet 0%


Too close to call....
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2016, 05:59:19 AM »

After the yesterday decision of HDZ to leave the Patriotic Coalition and run alone only in so called "partial coalition" (only at the level of each electoral unit) the right wing HSP AS anounced that it will leave the HDZ as partner "as the Coatia left the Yugoslavia."
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Ex-Assemblyman Steelers
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2016, 05:01:50 PM »

"Zivi zid" is not radical left, but populist.
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Zanas
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« Reply #7 on: July 27, 2016, 02:26:03 AM »

"Zivi zid" is not radical left, but populist.
Populist doesn't actually have any informative content whatsoever nowadays, but I know what you mean. When I researched it, it was clearly not something similar to Podemos, and only had a bare left-ish color that couldn't well be discerned.
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #8 on: July 27, 2016, 03:54:08 AM »

They are in favour of the revision of the property after the privatision. I mean it is more than populist....
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c r a b c a k e
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2016, 06:50:54 AM »

Zivi Zid's leader is a qt
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2016, 09:44:26 AM »
« Edited: July 28, 2016, 11:40:05 AM by PetrSokol »

Human shield signed the coalition with the party of 3 former Bridge MP´s called "We change Croatia" (Promjenimo Hrvatske) and with the structure  "Udruga Franak" - "Association Franc" which is an association of borrowers in Croatia to commercial banks in foreign currency with variable interest rates. The name of the coalition will be anounced.
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #11 on: July 28, 2016, 09:49:57 AM »

Liberal HSLS decided to run with the HDZ in the "parcial" coalition. It means  only in some electoral units. The condition of the HDZ for such cooperation is that HSLS won´t run in other units and will call their voters there to support the HDZ-list.
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aross
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« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2016, 04:59:29 AM »

This is today.
Last CRO poll:
People's Coalition 34.5
HDZ 27.2
Most 8.8
Živi Zid 6.0
Bandic (with new friends!) 3.1
ORaH-Labour-Josipovic 1.7
IDS 1.6
Others 5.6
Undecided 11.6

Actually, just check Wikipedia for the seat projections, will you?

I understand Pametno which appears to be a standard metropolitan right-liberal lot are rated quite highly for a seat in Zagreb.

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Baki
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« Reply #13 on: September 11, 2016, 09:22:07 AM »

This is today.
Last CRO poll:
People's Coalition 34.5
HDZ 27.2
Most 8.8
Živi Zid 6.0
Bandic (with new friends!) 3.1
ORaH-Labour-Josipovic 1.7
IDS 1.6
Others 5.6
Undecided 11.6

Actually, just check Wikipedia for the seat projections, will you?

I understand Pametno which appears to be a standard metropolitan right-liberal lot are rated quite highly for a seat in Zagreb.




The poll you mentioned was not from today.

It is a regular monthly poll which usually comes out  4.-5. of every month. This month however, it was not published beacause of the closenes to the election and the fact that it's a national poll.

Croatian parliament has 151 MPs. You need 76 for a majority.

Croatian territory is divided into 10 electoral constituenties. In each of those 14 MPs are elected with a 5% threshold.
Ethnic minorites are the 11th. constituenties. They have 8 MPs.
Diaspora is the 12th constituency. It has 3 MPs.


There have been 3 polls over the last month, all 3 have shown a tight race between the People's coalition (centre-left) and HDZ (centre-right). Predictions for both range from 55 to 60 MPs.
No one will come even close to having a majority. It will come down to who can make the best deal.

It's election day today.

Roughly 3,8 milion people have the right to vote.

The number of people who have voted is published 3 times on election day:
- at 11:30 am
- at 16:30 pm
- somewhere around 22:00 pm

So far, it's been published that from the poll-opening at 07:00am to 11:30am , 640185 people have voted.
That's 18.86% of the electorate.
Compared to the last election (November 8th, 2015.), the number has gone down 3% or 45000 people.
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Beagle
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« Reply #14 on: September 12, 2016, 01:47:06 AM »

Results - the comparison with 2015 may not be completely accurate due to defections and changes in coalition partners.

HDZ-led coalition - 61 (+2 compared to 2015) (+10 compared to the parliament at dissolution)
SDP-led coalition - 54 (-4) (-)
Most - 13 (-6)  (+1)
Živi zid - 8 (+7) (+4)
IDS/PGS/RI - 3 (-) (-)
Bandić Milan 365 - 2  (-) (-4)
HDSSB - 1 (-1) (-1)
Independent Željko Glasnović (diaspora) - 1 (new)

No results from the minorities constituencies that I could find.

So what was the point of this election again?
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Nhoj
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« Reply #15 on: September 12, 2016, 10:46:44 AM »

Any interactive maps?
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Diouf
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« Reply #16 on: September 13, 2016, 05:55:34 AM »

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http://www.euinside.eu/en/news/a-strong-pro-european-party-has-won-the-elections-in-croatia
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God-Empress Stacey I of House Abrams
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« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2016, 08:47:32 AM »

What caused the last-minute shift to HDZ?
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Diouf
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2016, 05:28:25 AM »

Croatia Parliament Votes in Plenkovic's New Govt
Croatia's new centre-right coalition government was comfortably voted in by parliament on Wednesday.

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http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/article/croatian-centre-right-coalition-govt-voted-in-10-19-2016
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #19 on: April 30, 2017, 02:29:18 AM »

The PM Plenković (HDZ) dismissed the 3 ministers from the coalition party Most (the Bridge) because they supported in the government the proposal for resignation of Fin Min Marić (HDZ). The Most party left the coalition next day. Plenković will now try to have the new majority in the Sabor with representatives of national minorities and small parties. The Most party is in favor of new preliminary elections.  The main opposition party SDP will try to win the voting about dismissing of the Fin MIn Marić and to prove with this that government doesn´t control the majority. They critized Marić for his previous job in Agrokor concern which is now in big economical trouble and will receive state financial support because it is probably the biggest private company in Croatia.
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PetrSokol
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« Reply #20 on: May 21, 2017, 09:27:04 AM »

Today are in Croatia local and regional elections. Assemblies are on both level elected proportionaly, majors and regional governors with absolute majority (2 rounds). The locals will be closed on 19:00 today (opened on 7:00).
On noon was the turnout slightly higher compare to the 2013.
Results is important for the Plenkovič government of the conservative HDZ after the coalition crisi which ended with dismissal of all ministers from the party Bridge (Most, focused on politics, but conservative in values, based on former independent majors). HDZ goverment survived later the vote of non-confidence called by oposition SDP. The result was 75:75 with one abstention. Today result will influnce if the goverment will continue or the country will faced the new parliamentary elections (third in 2 years). 
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