2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Webnicz]

With news that Sinema is in for senate, This means Stanton (ugh the man known for wasteful spending) is likely in for CD-9.

CD9 leans d, but everyone hates wasteful gov spending, if the Republicans play enough ads its a potential target, not nearly as much as CD1 though.

[Dr. Arch]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

Pretty map

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

With news that Sinema is in for senate, This means Stanton (ugh the man known for wasteful spending) is likely in for CD-9.

CD9 leans d, but everyone hates wasteful gov spending, if the Republicans play enough ads its a potential target, not nearly as much as CD1 though.

Dude, I get that you really don't like Stanton, but this seat is safe D if he runs and he's probably the most electable Democrat in the state as far as statewide GEs go.  This seat would probably be safe D anyway, but with Stanton running I'd be surprised if Republicans even pretend to target it.

[Cactus Jack]

With news that Sinema is in for senate, This means Stanton (ugh the man known for wasteful spending) is likely in for CD-9.

CD9 leans d, but everyone hates wasteful gov spending, if the Republicans play enough ads its a potential target, not nearly as much as CD1 though.

Dude, I get that you really don't like Stanton, but this seat is safe D if he runs and he's probably the most electable Democrat in the state as far as statewide GEs go.  This seat would probably be safe D anyway, but with Stanton running I'd be surprised if Republicans even pretend to target it.

I can vouch for this. AZ-09 is only going to continue to swing left, and the Republicans stand no chance in hell here in a Trump midterm.

[PragmaticPopulist]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

You really think Lisa Brown has a chance of knocking off Rodgers in WA-05?

[The Other Castro]

Archie Parnell sounds like he’s going to announce another run for SC-5 in 2018.

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article176739486.html

[Cactus Jack]

Archie Parnell sounds like he’s going to announce another run for SC-5 in 2018.

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article176739486.html

Like McAdams in Utah, it's worth a shot. We need to recruit wave insurance in as many long-shot pickups as we can.

[KingSweden]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

You really think Lisa Brown has a chance of knocking off Rodgers in WA-05?

Total wave insurance. I can't think of a stronger candidate for this district (it sure as hell wasn't Ben Stuckart)

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA-6: Bobby Kaple, former TV news anchor on Atlanta's channel 46, is running for the Democratic nomination.  He has no previous political experience.

http://politics.blog.myajc.com/2017/10/09/ex-atlanta-tv-anchor-runs-for-georgias-6th-district/

[Holmes]

I was just thinking how no one is running in GA-06. I do think it's because everyone in the know knows that Ossoff is running again. He just needs to move into the district.

[GeorgiaModerate]

As expected, Archie Parnell is running again in SC-05: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/354598-sc-dem-running-for-congress-again-after-close-special-election-loss

[Ye We Can]

http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/10/upstate_ny_man_launches_americas_most_radical_congressional_campaign.html

Claudia Tenney recieves a primary challenger running to her left in economics and her right on immigration. Probably doesn't have a chance but kinda interesting.

[Maxwell]

http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/10/upstate_ny_man_launches_americas_most_radical_congressional_campaign.html

Claudia Tenney recieves a primary challenger running to her left in economics and her right on immigration. Probably doesn't have a chance but kinda interesting.

also interesting considering Tenney ran as an insurgent in the first place.

[Cactus Jack]

http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/10/upstate_ny_man_launches_americas_most_radical_congressional_campaign.html

Claudia Tenney recieves a primary challenger running to her left in economics and her right on immigration. Probably doesn't have a chance but kinda interesting.

Nicholas Wan: MEGAPOPULIST

Frankly, I'd like to see him win. He'd be useful on healthcare and his immigration policy would never happen.

[Ye We Can]

http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/10/upstate_ny_man_launches_americas_most_radical_congressional_campaign.html

Claudia Tenney recieves a primary challenger running to her left in economics and her right on immigration. Probably doesn't have a chance but kinda interesting.

Nicholas Wan: MEGAPOPULIST

Frankly, I'd like to see him win. He'd be useful on healthcare and his immigration policy would never happen.

Personally I think these are the Republican candidates were going to start seeing more of in upstate New York and upper New England. It'll be interesting to see if they do any better or worse than generic R, considering there was almost no mention of social issues other than immigration.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I disagree. I think this guy might have a chance. Claudia Tenney is more like a Ted Cruz type, which doesn't really fit this district.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Both Alex Traintaphyllis and Lizzie Fletcher out raised Culberson last quarter https://mobile.twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/918952142114717696

[Maxwell]

I think Culberson is going to lose this time - he was always a pretty weak incumbent even before the sudden realization his district is vulnerable.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I think Culberson is going to lose this time - he was always a pretty weak incumbent even before the sudden realization his district is vulnerable.

It will be close, but liddle Abney will hold on.

[GeorgiaModerate]

It seems like a good idea to have one place for these reports.  A couple of tidbits today:

Jon Ossoff, who hasn't announced another bid for GA-06 (although everyone assumes he will), outraised Karen Handel in Q3, $365K vs $113K.

And:

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[GeorgiaModerate]

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[GeorgiaModerate]

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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[BuckeyeNut]

Ossoff could just be raising money to pay off campaign debt.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ossoff could just be raising money to pay off campaign debt.

That's quite possible.  The detailed filing shows that he still has $313K in debt, and it looks like most of the income in Q3 was from "list rental" (presumably their donor list) to Mothership Strategies.

[MarkD]

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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Bears a strong resemblance to the plot from a certain episode of Frasier.