TX - Texas Lyceum: Castro +4, Cruz/O'Rourle Tied
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  TX - Texas Lyceum: Castro +4, Cruz/O'Rourle Tied
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Author Topic: TX - Texas Lyceum: Castro +4, Cruz/O'Rourle Tied  (Read 9485 times)
Coraxion
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« Reply #50 on: July 04, 2017, 07:56:20 PM »

"Ted Cruz is not popular!"
"His unpopularity will make this close!"

https://morningconsult.com/senate-rankings-april-2017/

He has a 57-31 Approval Rating according to Morning Consult.
Okay. Now let me guess, when people talk about generic ballot polls and Trump approval rating polls, you scream "FAKE NEWS!!!" and "SAME POLLS SAID HILLARY WOULD WIN!"?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #51 on: July 05, 2017, 12:24:59 PM »

Only way I see Cruz losing is if he gets into a feud with Donny
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Gass3268
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« Reply #52 on: July 05, 2017, 12:34:12 PM »

"Ted Cruz is not popular!"
"His unpopularity will make this close!"

https://morningconsult.com/senate-rankings-april-2017/

He has a 57-31 Approval Rating according to Morning Consult.

Another poll has him underwater on job approval

and favorability
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #53 on: July 05, 2017, 12:36:27 PM »

Only way I see Cruz losing is if he gets into a feud with Donny
Even then he'd win
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #54 on: July 05, 2017, 10:06:21 PM »

"Ted Cruz is not popular!"
"His unpopularity will make this close!"

https://morningconsult.com/senate-rankings-april-2017/

He has a 57-31 Approval Rating according to Morning Consult.
Okay. Now let me guess, when people talk about generic ballot polls and Trump approval rating polls, you scream "FAKE NEWS!!!" and "SAME POLLS SAID HILLARY WOULD WIN!"?
No, but I do think they're exaggerated in regards to his unpopularity.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #55 on: July 07, 2017, 04:56:24 AM »

lol polls

I don't think Cruz can lose this race, not next year. At worst, he'll do a few points worse than Trump (51-45 ish) and that's if he maintains his unpopularity which is not out of question. For example Scott Walker has totally rebounded after an entire year of bad approval.
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The_Doctor
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« Reply #56 on: July 09, 2017, 09:19:01 PM »

Cruz is not likely to lose Texas, and if you look at the 2014 versus 2016 exits, Texas will be substantially whiter (although not as white as 2014).
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Young Texan
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« Reply #57 on: July 10, 2017, 04:23:55 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.
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Skunk
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« Reply #58 on: July 10, 2017, 04:25:42 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.

Both are junk, lol.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #59 on: July 10, 2017, 04:30:30 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.

Both are junk, lol.

No, Texas Lieceum polling is terrible and we know that, but the Ohio polls are better than Texas ones this early.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #60 on: July 10, 2017, 06:46:45 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.

Both are junk, lol.

No, Texas Lieceum polling is terrible and we know that, but the Ohio polls are better than Texas ones this early.

People's Pundit Daily is not at all a reputable pollster. Both of these are very unreliable.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #61 on: July 10, 2017, 06:54:04 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.

Both are junk, lol.

No, Texas Lieceum polling is terrible and we know that, but the Ohio polls are better than Texas ones this early.

People's Pundit Daily is not at all a reputable pollster. Both of these are very unreliable.

i'll have you know loras, ArG and zogby are the gold standard
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Kamala
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« Reply #62 on: July 10, 2017, 08:31:06 PM »

Democrats would like to jump on this junk poll and say "OH MY GOD CRUZ IS GONNA LOSE" but when legit polls have Josh Mandel beating Sherrod Brown by 8 points they all say "JUNK POLL". That's very telling.

Both are junk, lol.

No, Texas Lieceum polling is terrible and we know that, but the Ohio polls are better than Texas ones this early.

People's Pundit Daily is not at all a reputable pollster. Both of these are very unreliable.

i'll have you know loras, ArG and zogby are the gold standard
I accept nothing less than Strategies 2000
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jamestroll
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« Reply #63 on: July 11, 2017, 08:56:26 AM »
« Edited: July 11, 2017, 08:59:05 AM by Jimmie »

I mean if Democrats are going to break through statewide in Texas it would have to be a high profile race like Senate or Governor.  If it is going to be in 2018 it would have to be the US Senate contest. Sorry but I do not see Greg Abbott in the slightest bit of danger.

Thing about Texas is that there are no high profile Democrats who are well known outside their bases and those down ballot offices in Texas get very little media attention. Texas also elects just about every statewide officer imaginable. Particularly for the lower ballot offices the voters will vote Republican by default.

I am not predicting Cruz will be defeated in November 2018 but if he is defeated in the primary I could imagine this race could get within single digits very quickly.

Edit: it seems Texas may have had the longest streak without electing a Democrat to any statewide office and 1994 was the last time. Utah elected a Democrat as Attorney General in 1996 and Idaho elected Democratic Superintendents of Public Instruction in the 90s and 2000s.
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Xing (reluctantly no longer on strike)
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« Reply #64 on: July 11, 2017, 03:52:35 PM »

It's interesting how selective some people are with the polls they trust, lol.

Anyway, this is obviously junk. No way in hell Cruz loses.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #65 on: July 12, 2017, 01:56:17 PM »

Texas Lieceum
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #66 on: July 12, 2017, 02:12:09 PM »

This poll must be from the future, these look like 2024 numbers.

Likely R still.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #67 on: July 12, 2017, 02:13:16 PM »

This poll must be from the future, these look like 2024 numbers.

Likely R still.
They have an awful track record. This is the same firm that, in Fall 2015, had Rubio losing to Hillary in the state, and doing worse than Trump, and it also had Obama with a net positive approval of registered voters.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #68 on: July 12, 2017, 02:15:34 PM »

I love this lol
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The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #69 on: December 01, 2018, 01:14:16 AM »

Damn. What a huge mistake Dems made in having Beto run here. If Castro had just run instead, then given that Beto lost by 2.5, Castro would have won by 1.5 since he was a stronger candidate by 4 points.

#CandidateStrengthMatters
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #70 on: December 01, 2018, 01:40:19 AM »

Damn. What a huge mistake Dems made in having Beto run here. If Castro had just run instead, then given that Beto lost by 2.5, Castro would have won by 1.5 since he was a stronger candidate by 4 points.

#CandidateStrengthMatters

Castro is running for president. He doesn't want to be exposed, by running a statewide campaign, that he doesn't speak Spanish. In a Presidential campaign, it won't matter that much
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